Annoying opponents! - what do you bid?
#1
Posted 2005-September-10, 20:19
1.
♠ KJ3
♥ Q8
♦ Q862
♣ 10964
Fourth in hand, the opponents are vulnerable, you are not. LHO opens 4♥, double by partner (take-out), pass to you. What is your bid?
----
2.
♠ void
♥ AKQ863
♦ K987
♣ 1097
Third in hand this time; again opps are vul and you are not. Your partner opens a natural 1♣, 4♠ from RHO. Now it's you. Very annoying when they pre-empt, but that's what pre-empts are for. Good luck!
Roland
#2
Posted 2005-September-10, 21:31
On both hands I think I am not that clever, just a simple country fellow. Fear dominates over greed on both.
On the first I have to try 4♠ and hope the putative 4-3 fit works out because of my relatively robust high card holding.
On the second, I do not have any spades, so I am going to try to play the hand at 5♥.
If you have any clever solutions, I would love to hear them. Hands like these give me gas.
#3
Posted 2005-September-10, 22:02
I like the second hand so much that I will give it a 4NT followed by 4H. This shows a better hand than 4H directly. 4NT ostensibly shows the red suits, but partner will know what's going on when I pull to 5H.
- hrothgar
#4
Posted 2005-September-10, 22:33
Hand 2 is a 5H bid.
#5 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-10, 22:37
On the second it's interesting. You can bid 5H, 4N followed by 5H, or 4N planning to pass, or 4N planning to raise whatever partner bids. 4N followed by pass is risky, imagine partner with 4333 bidding 5D over 4N. So I will bid hearts. The question is am I strong enough for 4N followed by 5H, and what happens if LHO bids 5S over 4N? I'm not worried about that...if partner bids 6 of a suit, I will produce a good dummy. So I'll bid 4N planning on bidding 5H because my spade void is very powerful.
#6
Posted 2005-September-10, 23:45
Jlall, on Sep 11 2005, 06:37 AM, said:
I agree Justin, but I need to point out that it's take-out since many do not play take-out doubles this high. Some play it through 2♠, others through 3♠, and for them double of 4♥ would be for business.
Roland
#7 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-10, 23:47
#8 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-10, 23:51
Hannie, on Sep 10 2005, 11:02 PM, said:
I think 4N is either:
diamonds and clubs (with at least 2 more diamonds)
diamonds and hearts
good 5H bid.
Basically I agree with you, but I think pard will bid on the assumption that we have the first hand type until we clarify instead of bidding on the assumption of the reds.
#9
Posted 2005-September-11, 00:47
5♥ on the second. I don't think I am quite strong enough for 4NT followed by 5♥. I don't like xxx in partner's suit, and the ♥ are not solid enough in the face of likely bad breaks with no guarantee of support from partner. Call me a coward if you must!
Eric
#11 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-11, 00:57
EricK, on Sep 11 2005, 01:47 AM, said:
Exactly, and if we can make 11 tricks we will probably get 500 off of them. 11 is alot of tricks, and it is unlikely when we are this flat and have such defensive values that we will make that many and not have a compensating penalty against them, especially at this vulnerability. Really the best time to bid is if they are making, but then it is hard to imagine not going for 500. Partner would need a heart void which is extremely unlikely, and them making is also very unlikely given that we have 8 HCP and partner has Xed.
For those that don't agree that this is a clear pass, I would really urge you to do a simulation. If someone does, let me see the results, I will be prepared to eat my words. IMO these are the best types of hands for simulation.
#12
Posted 2005-September-11, 00:58
EricK, on Sep 11 2005, 08:47 AM, said:
Indeed or really(?) as you please. Remind me not to double 4♥ with
AQxx
void
KJxxx
KQJx
or similar as I will lose a double game swing.
Roland
#13 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2005-September-11, 01:04
#14
Posted 2005-September-11, 03:30
Jlall, on Sep 11 2005, 05:51 AM, said:
diamonds and clubs (with at least 2 more diamonds)
diamonds and hearts
good 5H bid.
Why not clubs & hearts?
Also, I don't know how to run real simulations, but I put the first hand into Jack and asked it to "Analyze this position" (it generates 1000 possible hands and double dummy analyzes them I think) and it spat out: (annoyingly enough it computes "expected total points")
4S = -354
5D = -502
5C = -542
(by opps, presumably their expected score:)
4H = 209 [ie our expected score is -209, I think]
5H = -285
6H = -958
It presumably assumes your contracts will be doubled when they fail by several tricks (and hopefully always uses 4Hx? more on this below). I don't think this is so accurate, though -- e.g. its displayed definition of partner's double was "hcp=14+" (perhaps it uses a more accurate definition internally for the calculations). (If you care, its displayed definition of 4H was 7-9 playing tricks, 7+ hearts, 3-13 hcp.)
I worry, though, that it's correcting afterwards for 4H being doubled or something: its conclusion from this analysis was "Jack's intention: 4S" even though pass seems indicated by the numbers. One should also of course note that something like "the better of 5C and 5D" should be calculated -- Jack can apparently take such things into consideration when coming up with its "intention" but I don't know whether it knows about a 4NT bid.
Does anyone have suggestions for better simulators (e.g. which give more than "expected total points" and allow user definitions -- and which preferably could deal with "5C or 5D" type questions)?
Andy
(For what it's worth, I'm probably a passer on the first hand and a 5H bidder on the second.)
#15
Posted 2005-September-11, 03:33
#16
Posted 2005-September-11, 05:57
The_Hog, on Sep 11 2005, 09:33 AM, said:
It only destroys partnership confidence if partner doesn't expect you to pass on hands like this.
If he does, and you bid and you go down at the 5 level when 4H was going down then there is a danger you will destroy partnership confidence!
Eric
#17
Posted 2005-September-11, 10:29
2) 4NT Good Bad, intendeing to big 5H, to show that I am not
strectching
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#18
Posted 2005-September-11, 10:39
I play this double quite differently than the double of 4S, which also doesn't show a trump stack but there partner is only expected to pull with a lot of shape.
Since the second hand plays well in slam opposite many suitable minimum hands (xxx xxx Ax AQJxx), I think that 4NT is the correct call. Partner can be much better than this.
- hrothgar
#19
Posted 2005-September-11, 13:12
As for partnership confidence, if it is shaken by your pass, you are in the wrong partnership anyway
On the second hand, my first reaction was to blast 6♥. Going through 4N first may be technically superior, but partner will be looking at poor majors.
Qxx Jx Axx AJxxx gives me a great play for slam and he will never bid over 5♥ with that.
The vulnerability cuts both ways. If we were red v white, 6♥ has the extra edge that my LHO may well bid 6♠ even when 6♥ was failing. As it is, we can be comfortable that RHO almost certainly has great ♠. This reduces the deck to 30-32 hcp, of which we hold 12 and partner likely holds 12-14. Give partner almost any hand with 12-13 points outside of ♠ and 6♥ will have a play unless trump are foul, in which case 5♥, bid the slow way, will likely also fail.
BTW, we can be aggresive here because any minor suit squeeze (a real possibility on many layouts) will probably work.
I am going to stick to my first instinct: 6♥.
.
#20
Posted 2005-September-11, 13:25