nekthen, on 2019-May-22, 17:36, said:
imho I do not think you understand rubber bridge. Assume you go down in 5c, even undoubled. thats another 100 invested in this rubber. Opps are still game and 40 and massive favourites to win a 2 game rubber. (I am assuming this is old school rubber not chicago)
Rubber bridge is not about doing the best you can on one hand. It is about the series of hands that make up the rubber.
The other problem with bidding on this hand, at any form of scoring, is that you are very unlikely to win the auction, in which case you may well be pointing declarer towards the right path to make his contract
Last night I played in 3N and had to bring in AQT932 opposite K5 to make the contract. I played the K and finessed for the J. RHO had bid 2N for the minors. Without that bid I would have played for the drop and gone down
I understand it fine. Just haven't played it in 30 years b/c I find it boring.
You can't simply consider what you think might be the most likely result and then ask whether that is worth it. There are a ton of possibilities, and you come out way ahead on most of them.
Going -100 for down one doubled on this hand would be stupendous in rubber bridge. The alternative is -820 for letting the opponents make game in a major.
Why do you think this is the opponents' hand? With 40 on and South an overbidder, God knows what he has for 2C. Maybe just a pile of H or S. Perhaps you can actually make 5C (not out of the question at all).
Why do you think the opponents are going to win the rubber the next hand? Perhaps you will score game on the next hand.
Perhaps you'll be able to defeat 5M (declarer is getting very bad breaks).
Perhaps you'll prevent losing a 1000 or 1500 slam bonus.
Perhaps a lot of things, most of which are very good for you.
Cheers,
mike