[Jinksy]

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IMP pairs.

The 1N opening can be on an average+ 11 count, but not any old drivel. It systemically includes all permutations of 4441 and 5542 distributions.

Your initial Stayman bid was consistent with a weak takeout into diamonds, so that's probably how P would read 3D here. X would be competitive.

Over the double, partner could have redoubled with good clubs. You don't have specific agreements about what a pass would have shown (incidentally, is there an expert standard here that would make sense for a weak NT?).

[ggwhiz]

We might be able to beat this or might go for a number in 3♥, especially if they split 4-1 and I see no reason to think we can make 3♥ on an 8 card fit.

And lastly this decision belongs to pass out seat. If I bid 3♥ in front of partner with this dreck and the opponents take another bid they will surely go wrong.

[rmnka447]

Pass.

Even if partner has a 14 HCP hand, they have more HCP than we do. This hand is a 9 loser hand opposite opposite a 7 loser hand at best. So the 3 level may be a bridge too far.

While you want to compete for part scores at IMPs, it looks like we've reached the limit of how high to compete. If partner has opened aggressively, further competition risks a possible number or goading them into some place they want to be. You've forced them to 3 ♣. It's time to try to beat it.

[mr1303]

If partner had bid 2S I would bid 3S here, but I agree with pass.

[mr1303]

Incidentally, I don't think partner should be bidding here often. I would bid 2C on a 4351 Yarborough, would I not?

[jogs]

PASS.

We probably have a 4-4 fit. Our HCP range is 16.5 to 19. Not a favorite to make 3♥.
5422. No shortness. Pd's 1NT should be no shortness. Also pd's likely doubleton would be in spades.

If we make 3♥ and they go down in 3♣, it's a small gain.

It is only a large gain if we make 3♥ and they make 3♣. This would be clearly less than 10% of the time.
Maybe even less than 5% of the time.

And 3♥ may go for a large number.