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ATB missing slam

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 03:38


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#2 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 04:08

West or system.
East did just fine.
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#3 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 04:55

Pretty tough playing anything standard-ish.

Playing Meckwell:

1c 1h (8-11 art) 2S (4 × 1) 2N (ask) 3S 4441) 3N (?) 4C (?) 5H (?) 6H. Im guessing at last 4 calls but it seems reasonable.

Playing my pet methods:

1D (unbal and forcing 1R) 1H (4÷, 0+ hcp) 2N (strong raise) 3C (inquiry) 3S (low short and GF) 4C 4D (Q + LTTC). East might cue 5D or signoff - unclear.
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#4 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 05:14

View PostMrAce, on 2017-January-02, 04:08, said:

West or system.
East did just fine.


Disagree, E bid how he would bid xx, Jxxx, xxx, KQxx, his hand is much better than that, I think he owes partner 4 but I agree system is an issue, Ax, AKxx, AQxxxx, x for example is a decent slam and a possible 4 bid.

We have a gadget here which would help, but I'm not sure if you can do better than 4 in standard methods.
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#5 User is offline   wanoff 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 05:19

If you're in this, you'll be in a lot of worse ones as well.
Besides, it looks pretty ropey if the spade finesse fails.
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#6 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 05:39

Fluffy's ATB

Quite a good slam but hard to bid.

With sight of both hands, you might judge that West has a bit to spare and East is worth 4

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#7 User is offline   wank 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 10:40

east has downgraded his clubs too much. opposite ax x in the blacks (more likely p's 2461 than his actual shape), AK is the nut holding. i'd be giving it 2 moves on the east hand, not just 1. king of diamonds is normally a more useful card than it is here.

i understand east's worried about his hearts (partner driving slam with aqxx for example), but you there are plenty of hands where slam's good with a known trump loser. if you were really clever you might be able to get to 6nt opposite something like AK AKxx AJxxxx x.
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#8 User is offline   SteveMoe 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 11:04

With Nigel.
East owes 4 over 4, the AKJx not withstanding. 1 could be on a few as xxx Qxxx xx Q/Kxxx. Holding 4 Controls, we owe partner a control bid under game. The "free" 4 unlocks the potential of partner's hand. Moral - always make the bid partner wants to hear.

Would add that AKxx is not a horrible holding opposite a splinter - It is better than KQ/KJ/QJ - x(x). You offer partner a discard (or 2) that might mean making slam.
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#9 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 13:16

View PostSteveMoe, on 2017-January-02, 11:04, said:

With Nigel.
East owes 4 over 4, the AKJx not withstanding. 1 could be on a few as xxx Qxxx xx Q/Kxxx. Holding 4 Controls, we owe partner a control bid under game. The "free" 4 unlocks the potential of partner's hand. Moral - always make the bid partner wants to hear.

Would add that AKxx is not a horrible holding opposite a splinter - It is better than KQ/KJ/QJ - x(x). You offer partner a discard (or 2) that might mean making slam.

Agreed that east should bid 4
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#10 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 14:21

Lord help these people!They seem to not understand W would have splintered with a K less than what he has.
Without K 5 level would not be safe if E made a move.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#11 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 15:23

View PostMrAce, on 2017-January-02, 14:21, said:

Lord help these people!They seem to not understand W would have splintered with a K less than what he has.
Without K 5 level would not be safe if E made a move.

But that still makes it OK to bid 4, doesn't it? West wouldn't go beyond game with AQJx AQxx AJxx x
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#12 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 15:47

View Postgnasher, on 2017-January-02, 15:23, said:

But that still makes it OK to bid 4, doesn't it? West wouldn't go beyond game with AQJx AQxx AJxx x



The hand you gave would not, but

AKxx
Axxx
AQJxx
Void

This hand definitely will. They may even end up in slam let alone 5 level if they try to avoid keycards due to void or if they respond the void to keycard asking, assuming that pd liked the splinter suit.

I can actually make it more dramatic by changing opener's hand.

AKQx
Qxxx
AQJxx
Void.

AKQx
AKxx
Qxxxx
Void

If 4 means "I have weak trumps" then I am with you. But I strongly doubt it. It is either last train or control cuebid depending on your agreement. People in this thread are understating the possibility of pd having void . And when/if that is the case, his overall strength may be a stretch by partner, plus our hand worth much less than it is vs a singleton.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#13 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 15:53

View PostSteveMoe, on 2017-January-02, 11:04, said:

Would add that AKxx is not a horrible holding opposite a splinter - It is better than KQ/KJ/QJ - x(x). You offer partner a discard (or 2) that might mean making slam.



Certainly better, but on this hand you are often discarding the third spade, it is much better when partner has 5+ trumps and you have 2 suits to pick the discard.
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#14 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 16:15

View PostMrAce, on 2017-January-02, 15:47, said:

The hand you gave would not, but

AKxx
Axxx
AQJxx
Void

This hand definitely will. They may even end up in slam let alone 5 level if they try to avoid keycards due to void or if they respond the void to keycard asking, assuming that pd liked the splinter suit.

What's wrong with being in slam, as long as it's the right slam? I'd like to have an auction like
1-1
4-4
4-5NT
6

Quote

I can actually make it more dramatic by changing opener's hand.

AKQx
Qxxx
AQJxx
Void.

If 4 means "I have weak trumps" then I am with you. But I strongly doubt it. It is either last train or control cuebid depending on your agreement. People in this thread are understating the possibility of pd having void . And when/if that is the case, his overall strength may be a stretch by partner, plus our hand worth much less than it is vs a singleton.


I assumed that 4 showed the ace or king of diamonds, as Fluffy didn't say we were playing anything else.

I'm not sure that opener should go past game with this. The weak trumps are a danger signal, and there are other hands where the five-level isn't safe but responder has a clearcut 4 bid, eg xx Kxxx Kxx Axxx.

I agree that the possibility of opener's holding a void is a problem, but I don't think the answer is for responder to hold back from cue-bidding because of that. On frequency grounds, I think it's better for opener with a void to take account of the likelihood that partner is treating the ace as a useful card.

A better solution is to play a better system, so that opener can distinguish between a singleton and a void below game.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2017-January-02, 16:17

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#15 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 16:32

Heres an easy fix

1D 1H and 1H 1S are the only starts where we cant jump reverse to break out splinter ranges, ie 1C 1H 3D is a 3 or 5 level splinter and 4D is a 4 level splinter.

1H 3S (1S 3N) is commonly played as an unknown splinter.

So use 1D 1H 3S as multi way.

3N asks then

4C is club shortness (4D expresses interest opp a really big hand)

4D is spade shortness and big hand.

4H is a 4 level drive with spade shortness.

1H 1S 3N could function the same way.
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#16 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 16:37

I was thinking on including something artifical as well, but I was more interested in diamond length over strength. I see so many differenes betwee 4441 and 5431 (not as many with 6421 and 5431)
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#17 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 17:55

I think West is far too strong to splinter 4 . I regularly see hands where people splinter with a 16-17 HC count as opener often with some flaws. This hand has a 21 count with good suit textures and controls in all the suits. It's too much to expect responder to help evaluate slam prospects with a rebid that can be that wide.

I think a jump shift 2 rebid that is virtually game forcing, if available, would be better. First, it should show good values in these 2 suits to begin. It also tends to increase the value of and honors in responders hand once you set as trump. It also let's responder give some indication of their strength. Here after a 2 rebid, responder will make a positive response which lets opener keep slam exploration alive.

With the actual 4 splinter made, I think responder should bid 4 as the hand still has extras even though concentrated in opener's short suit. 4 could be bid on as little as xx Jxxx xxx Axxx. Responder's hand is considerably better than that.
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#18 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 18:01

View PostFluffy, on 2017-January-02, 16:37, said:

I was thinking on including something artifical as well, but I was more interested in diamond length over strength. I see so many differenes betwee 4441 and 5431 (not as many with 6421 and 5431)


We actually play 1x-1y-3N as big 4441 with support, so all the other sequences show at least 5x. We have another way of bidding the sort of hand most people hold for this sequence.
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#19 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 18:44

View Postgnasher, on 2017-January-02, 16:15, said:

[/size]

A better solution is to play a better system, so that opener can distinguish between a singleton and a void below game.


On that alone we agree, and that is what I mentioned in my first reply.

On the hand

AKQx
Qxxx
AQJxx
Void

I definitely think opener will go over 4 level. But I will poll this one too for you. Come on. You are almost cold for slam, let alone 5 level, vs

xxx
KJxx
Kxx
xxx

Some may even give a better hand than this for 4. But in this topic people seem to prefer doing it with 4 small trumps and AKJ in the splinter suit. Ugh...
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

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#20 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2017-January-02, 18:49

Timo, singletons are more likely than voids. East has a very decent hand opposite a singleton. Even opposite a void it could be useful - say opener is 3460 with Axx.

If all your example hands are specifically 4450, maybe you should think more whether the problems hands for bidding 4 are all that likely.

(In my view, 4 is clear.)
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