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Lead Q
#1
- Experimental biddicist
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Posted 2016-December-11, 17:23
Teams. Pick a card.
The "4♥ is a transfer to 4♠" award goes to Jinksy - PhilKing
#2
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Posted 2016-December-12, 02:24
There's a good case for the king of spades here, in case we need a switch. A diamond is a gamble that could be right (but could also be very wrong), a club seems to have little upside, and this looks more like a cash out situation, so a trump doesn't stand out.
I don't like to lead an unsupported king (from length), so I will lead the presumably standard Jack.
I don't like to lead an unsupported king (from length), so I will lead the presumably standard Jack.
#3
- The Abbess
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Posted 2016-December-12, 03:26
We may well need two diamond tricks to beat it but even then, it may be necessary that diamonds are played from partner in case declarer has the king. So I lead a spade. Hopefully partner can figure out that the diamond switch is necessary. I think that is the biggest danger. As long as partner has one of the spade honours it is hard to see how a spade lead could be losing DD.
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#4
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Posted 2016-December-12, 05:48
I am not saying ♠J lead is wrong. But there are cases where K lead can be important.
It has also other side effects. I have seen declarers playing me for AK of the suit I led and misplacing the remaining honors he needs.
Almost all good players are aware that leading K in an agreed suit in defense does not promise Q.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
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"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#5
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Posted 2016-December-13, 00:37
Mr Ace: Although you did manage create a layout (albeit completely inconsistent with the bidding 
) where switching to a club is the only winning defense, it's an absolutely minuscule chance.
By far our best chance to defeat the contract is in diamonds (either via tricks or a ruff). Leading a lower spade (J or T) gives us the best chance to do this.
) where switching to a club is the only winning defense, it's an absolutely minuscule chance. By far our best chance to defeat the contract is in diamonds (either via tricks or a ruff). Leading a lower spade (J or T) gives us the best chance to do this.
#6
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Posted 2016-December-13, 01:36
WesleyC, on 2016-December-13, 00:37, said:
Mr Ace: Although you did manage create a layout (albeit completely inconsistent with the bidding ) where switching to a club is the only winning defense, it's an absolutely minuscule chance.
By far our best chance to defeat the contract is in diamonds (either via tricks or a ruff). Leading a lower spade (J or T) gives us the best chance to do this.
) where switching to a club is the only winning defense, it's an absolutely minuscule chance. By far our best chance to defeat the contract is in diamonds (either via tricks or a ruff). Leading a lower spade (J or T) gives us the best chance to do this.
"By far best chance" kind of words by you is consistent with your other replies in other topics.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#7
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Posted 2016-December-13, 15:14
Im not going to be a genius here.
The sK is imaginative for sure and it will never blow a trick double dummy. But single dummy its possible and even likely that partner overtakes to fire a diamond through.
The sK is imaginative for sure and it will never blow a trick double dummy. But single dummy its possible and even likely that partner overtakes to fire a diamond through.
Hi y'all!
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#8
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Posted 2016-December-18, 09:07
I am a little concerned about the JS lead for the reason that if there is Qxx in the dummy it can be hard for partner to realise he is supposed to put the ace on and play a diamond back. For that reason there is a strong case for a low spade here I would have thought, force partner to win and play a diamond back.
Of course, by the time I realise this it is already some minutes since I led the spade J.
Of course, by the time I realise this it is already some minutes since I led the spade J.
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#9
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Posted 2016-December-18, 12:05
Wow I hate the spade king lead.
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