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Clever Hans

#1 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-04, 16:13

https://en.wikipedia...iki/Clever_Hans
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#2 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2015-October-04, 16:40

?!?
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#3 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-05, 04:11

View Postmgoetze, on 2015-October-04, 16:40, said:

?!?

Consider how Hans and his owner were unwittingly using a code to "cheat" at arithmetic.
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#4 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2015-October-05, 04:17

Ah right, fiddling with the bidding cards. Touch all of them, starting with pass though 7NT, as soon as you partner shows tension you know he doesn't want you to fiddle any more.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#5 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2015-October-05, 05:38

This happens at club level. Everyone must surely know at least one player where the whole table can immediately see (s)he has a big hand.
(-: Zel :-)
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Posted 2015-October-05, 09:39

View PostZelandakh, on 2015-October-05, 05:38, said:

This happens at club level. Everyone must surely know at least one player where the whole table can immediately see (s)he has a big hand.


We had a player who moved her lips while counting her hcp's. My partner in 3rd with her in 4th once psyched when she got to 20 and was still counting.
When a deaf person goes to court is it still called a hearing?
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#7 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-05, 16:36

"Years ago I took to filming my players as they trained for competition in order to ascertain what tells they owned. One certainty became apparent virtually immediately: every single player possessed at least one and typically three or more. The worst ones I revealed to them, primarily because they were placing themselves at an extreme competitive disadvantage. I also became concerned that their partners would subconsciously learn them, too." (http://bridgewinners...fspring-part-1/)
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#8 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-06, 06:09

Do the von Ostens and Clever Hanses of bridge actually cheat? If not, how can we as spectators tell the difference between them and real cheaters?
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#9 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2015-October-06, 06:17

View Postnullve, on 2015-October-06, 06:09, said:

Do the von Ostens and Clever Hanses of bridge actually cheat? If not, how can we as spectators tell the difference between them and real cheaters?

Almost all "tells" of this type are going to be invisible to partner in a screens environment. Generally, cheating across a screen is more difficult to pass off as incidental once the key is known. Given your exercise, perhaps you would have been better off videoing the opponents and finding out their tells!
(-: Zel :-)
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#10 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-06, 06:35

View PostZelandakh, on 2015-October-06, 06:17, said:

Almost all "tells" of this type are going to be invisible to partner in a screens environment.

Maybe. But:

"During a practice match between Junior Teams conducted over twenty years ago, I witnessed a new player placing his opening bid in the center of his space when he held an average hand, to the far left with a great hand and somewhere between those physical points with an intermediate hand. Given that he had only been playing for a few months and sitting in a new partnership, it was obvious that this was not an effort to cheat. It was simply that he was unconsciously leaving room for the bidding cards to be comfortably placed for the expected duration of the auction." (http://bridgewinners...fspring-part-1/)

On the face of it, this is not very different from what B-Z allegedly were doing.
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Posted 2015-October-10, 08:09

From a comment on Bridgewinners:

"If someone is cheating, do we have to disclose their full method to prove guilty? No, we don't.Since B-Z use 3 ways to bid(small, normal, large gaps), so if they are innocent they are doing it unconsciously, and it will be quite random. If evidence show that randomness is violated then it is serious, regardless of the exact meaning." (http://bridgewinners...ng-gap-issue-3/)

This got me thinking about the game of rock-paper-scissors:

"Proponents of the “Chaos School” of RPS try to select a throw randomly. An opponent cannot know what you do not know yourself. In theory, the only way to defeat a random throw is with another random throw – and then only thirty-three percent of the time. Critics of this strategy insist that there is no such thing as a random throw. Human beings will always use some impulse or inclination to choose a throw, and will therefore settle into unconscious but nonetheless predicable patterns. The Chaos School has been dwindling in recent years as tournament statistics show the greater effectiveness of other strategies." (http://worldrps.com/advanced-rps/)
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#12 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-20, 06:10

The hidden game of "rock-paper-scissors" in a game of bridge with bidding boxes:

Players: the two members of a bridge partnership

Moves: gaps between consecutive bids by one player that are either

* 'small' (plays the role of, say, 'rock')
* 'mid-sized' (plays the role of, say, 'paper')
* 'large' (plays the role of, say, 'scissors')

Since the players take turns to bid and thereby make a physical move in this game, it's not at first sight a simultaneous game like "real" rock-paper-scissors. But as long as the players focus on the bids instead of the gaps, the last player to move will have no advantage except possibly due to subconscious effects. So at least we can pretend it's a simultaneous game, albeit one played unwittingly.
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Posted 2015-October-20, 06:35

View Postnullve, on 2015-October-20, 06:10, said:

* 'small' (plays the role of, say, 'rock')
* 'mid-sized' (plays the role of, say, 'paper')
* 'large' (plays the role of, say, 'scissors')

* VERY 'small' = Lizard
* VERY 'large' = Spock?
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.

Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mPosted ImagesPosted ImagetPosted Imager-mPosted ImagendPosted Imageing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.

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#14 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-20, 07:06

View Post1eyedjack, on 2015-October-20, 06:35, said:

* VERY 'small' = Lizard
* VERY 'large' = Spock?

Yes, why not.
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#15 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2015-October-20, 16:56

Some declarers peter from equals in dummy, to reassure dummy that the contract is in the bag. Seemingly harmless but might be illegal, according to the laws.
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#16 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2015-October-21, 01:40

View Postnige1, on 2015-October-20, 16:56, said:

Some declarers peter from equals in dummy, to reassure dummy that the contract is in the bag. Seemingly harmless but might be illegal, according to the laws.

I usually apply the same rules for adjacent honours when playing from dummy as when defending. For no particular reason. As a child I played the lower because it would do more harm if I forgot whether a high honour had been played :)

I don't think the laws make any restrictions on the order in which declarer plays equivalent cards. Maybe some would say that playing the cards in a weird order, to cause distraction, is in the same ballpark as a colour coup.
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#17 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2015-October-21, 02:48

Can anyone explain how Clever Hans relates to the codes we are talking about? Or RPS? As if I were a five year old? I understand that the owner's unconscious signals told the horse when to neigh, and I'm sure some people do things like when they're defending/bidding (for example, "please pass.. Please pass.. My raise was a joke, please don't double them..." or during defense, "DON'T CASH THAT ACE! It's a ruff/sluff") and I even worry that I'm doing something along those lines while I'm playing live. But we're talking about a partner signalling distribution by showing fingers, or talking about placing vertical/horizontal cards when you are attacking/staying passive. This is completely different to trying to manipulate your partner to do something (unconsciously). And the RPS example, I have no idea what possible relation it could have to sending signals. The RPS players are actively trying to predict how their opponents are trying to behave. In bridge, you're supposed to ignore everything your partner sends and perhaps play some RPS with your opponents (although not in the realm of "tells" as it is illegal to mislead your opponents through mannerisms). But I guess I'm missing the point since several posters seem to think the OP is onto something.
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#18 User is offline   nullve 

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Posted 2015-October-21, 05:55

View Postgwnn, on 2015-October-21, 02:48, said:

Can anyone explain how Clever Hans relates to the codes we are talking about?


Well, everyone seems to assume that in order to prove collusion, it's sufficient to prove that an illegal signal has been transmitted and acted upon. I'll call this view 'transmissionism'. The Clever Hans case, however, indicates that an illegal signal can be transmitted and acted upon without collusion, because, apparently, von Osten didn't know he was signalling and Hans wasn't aware he was doing artihmetic. In bridge, a von Osten-Clever Hans-type pair would be a pair A-B where

A had tells he doesn't know about
B was using those tells subconsciously

Would A-B be cheating? If transmissionism is true, they would.

Do von Osten-Clever Hans-like pairs actually exist? For all I know, they may be rule rather than the exception.

Quote

Or RPS?

The game of RPS suggests that we are all von Ostens, because it's notoriously difficult to play a long sequence of moves in RPS that doesn't reveal a pattern that can be exploited by the opponent. In fact, humans suck at RPS compared with certain computer programs.

Quote

But we're talking about a partner signalling distribution by showing fingers, or talking about placing vertical/horizontal cards when you are attacking/staying passive.


How do we know these signals aren't tells? I'm not saying they are, but a proof of collusion should be based on more than a gut feeling that they are part of a
preagreed code.

Quote

This is completely different to trying to manipulate your partner to do something (unconsciously).


I'm not sure what you mean. von Osten apparently didn't try to manipulate Hans, he just did. And even if we assume that F-N and B-Z were cheating, it doesn't have to be the case that those hand movements or card orientations were deliberate as long as partner knew about them and took advantage.

Quote

And the RPS example, I have no idea what possible relation it could have to sending signals.


I was trying to rebut this:

"If someone is cheating, do we have to disclose their full method to prove guilty? No, we don't.Since B-Z use 3 ways to bid(small, normal, large gaps), so if they are innocent they are doing it unconsciously, and it will be quite random. If evidence show that randomness is violated then it is serious, regardless of the exact meaning." (http://bridgewinners...ng-gap-issue-3/)
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#19 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2015-October-21, 06:06

Really? Putting the board on the other side of the screen to signal for a club lead can be an unconscious tell? And how will partner possibly understand it? There's a reason for my examples. I am acting tense to get partner not to double, and the moment he doesn't double, I am relaxed. He will pick this up, either immediately or by training. He, being a decent human being, will sense my suffering and try to alleviate by passing. This is a totally human interaction, albeit a blatantly illegal one, based on unconscious tells that are natural to humans and empathy. Say I am in a sticky situation at the police station as I'm unsure whether I have all the necessary papers and I'm anxious whether or not they will grant me some permit. I will be naturally tense and hoping they just give it to me. When I preempt on less than a normal minimum and LHO doubles, I'm anxious RHO doesn't pass it out. This may or may not show, and RHO may or may not notice it (this time, using it is legal). These are all completely normal human reactions to common situations and I would argue, picking them up is not only natural but failing to pick them up could possibly be a sign that I'm a psychopath. All of this is completely different than placing a card vertically and horizontally, which maps nowhere on these basic human non-verbal interactions, or putting a board somewhere based on which suit is strongest (but only when you are defending), or clearly showing four or five fingers under the screen aperture. Can't you see how different those signals are to these?
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#20 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2015-October-21, 08:03

View Postgwnn, on 2015-October-21, 06:06, said:

All of this is completely different than placing a card vertically and horizontally, which maps nowhere on these basic human non-verbal interactions,

While I agree wholeheartedly with the point you are making, I do take a small issue with this part. One of the most common such actions you see at club level is placing a card vertically when expecting to win the trick and horizontally when not. I doubt many of the players that do this are doing it consciously.
(-: Zel :-)
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