Clever Hans
#2
Posted 2015-October-04, 16:40
-- Bertrand Russell
#4
Posted 2015-October-05, 04:17
#5
Posted 2015-October-05, 05:38
#6
Posted 2015-October-05, 09:39
Zelandakh, on 2015-October-05, 05:38, said:
We had a player who moved her lips while counting her hcp's. My partner in 3rd with her in 4th once psyched when she got to 20 and was still counting.
What is baby oil made of?
#7
Posted 2015-October-05, 16:36
#8
Posted 2015-October-06, 06:09
#9
Posted 2015-October-06, 06:17
nullve, on 2015-October-06, 06:09, said:
Almost all "tells" of this type are going to be invisible to partner in a screens environment. Generally, cheating across a screen is more difficult to pass off as incidental once the key is known. Given your exercise, perhaps you would have been better off videoing the opponents and finding out their tells!
#10
Posted 2015-October-06, 06:35
Zelandakh, on 2015-October-06, 06:17, said:
Maybe. But:
"During a practice match between Junior Teams conducted over twenty years ago, I witnessed a new player placing his opening bid in the center of his space when he held an average hand, to the far left with a great hand and somewhere between those physical points with an intermediate hand. Given that he had only been playing for a few months and sitting in a new partnership, it was obvious that this was not an effort to cheat. It was simply that he was unconsciously leaving room for the bidding cards to be comfortably placed for the expected duration of the auction." (http://bridgewinners...fspring-part-1/)
On the face of it, this is not very different from what B-Z allegedly were doing.
#11
Posted 2015-October-10, 08:09
"If someone is cheating, do we have to disclose their full method to prove guilty? No, we don't.Since B-Z use 3 ways to bid(small, normal, large gaps), so if they are innocent they are doing it unconsciously, and it will be quite random. If evidence show that randomness is violated then it is serious, regardless of the exact meaning." (http://bridgewinners...ng-gap-issue-3/)
This got me thinking about the game of rock-paper-scissors:
"Proponents of the “Chaos School” of RPS try to select a throw randomly. An opponent cannot know what you do not know yourself. In theory, the only way to defeat a random throw is with another random throw – and then only thirty-three percent of the time. Critics of this strategy insist that there is no such thing as a random throw. Human beings will always use some impulse or inclination to choose a throw, and will therefore settle into unconscious but nonetheless predicable patterns. The Chaos School has been dwindling in recent years as tournament statistics show the greater effectiveness of other strategies." (http://worldrps.com/advanced-rps/)
#12
Posted 2015-October-20, 06:10
Players: the two members of a bridge partnership
Moves: gaps between consecutive bids by one player that are either
* 'small' (plays the role of, say, 'rock')
* 'mid-sized' (plays the role of, say, 'paper')
* 'large' (plays the role of, say, 'scissors')
Since the players take turns to bid and thereby make a physical move in this game, it's not at first sight a simultaneous game like "real" rock-paper-scissors. But as long as the players focus on the bids instead of the gaps, the last player to move will have no advantage except possibly due to subconscious effects. So at least we can pretend it's a simultaneous game, albeit one played unwittingly.
#13
Posted 2015-October-20, 06:35
nullve, on 2015-October-20, 06:10, said:
* 'mid-sized' (plays the role of, say, 'paper')
* 'large' (plays the role of, say, 'scissors')
* VERY 'small' = Lizard
* VERY 'large' = Spock?
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mstr-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
#15
Posted 2015-October-20, 16:56
#16
Posted 2015-October-21, 01:40
nige1, on 2015-October-20, 16:56, said:
I usually apply the same rules for adjacent honours when playing from dummy as when defending. For no particular reason. As a child I played the lower because it would do more harm if I forgot whether a high honour had been played
I don't think the laws make any restrictions on the order in which declarer plays equivalent cards. Maybe some would say that playing the cards in a weird order, to cause distraction, is in the same ballpark as a colour coup.
#17
Posted 2015-October-21, 02:48
George Carlin
#18
Posted 2015-October-21, 05:55
gwnn, on 2015-October-21, 02:48, said:
Well, everyone seems to assume that in order to prove collusion, it's sufficient to prove that an illegal signal has been transmitted and acted upon. I'll call this view 'transmissionism'. The Clever Hans case, however, indicates that an illegal signal can be transmitted and acted upon without collusion, because, apparently, von Osten didn't know he was signalling and Hans wasn't aware he was doing artihmetic. In bridge, a von Osten-Clever Hans-type pair would be a pair A-B where
A had tells he doesn't know about
B was using those tells subconsciously
Would A-B be cheating? If transmissionism is true, they would.
Do von Osten-Clever Hans-like pairs actually exist? For all I know, they may be rule rather than the exception.
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The game of RPS suggests that we are all von Ostens, because it's notoriously difficult to play a long sequence of moves in RPS that doesn't reveal a pattern that can be exploited by the opponent. In fact, humans suck at RPS compared with certain computer programs.
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How do we know these signals aren't tells? I'm not saying they are, but a proof of collusion should be based on more than a gut feeling that they are part of a
preagreed code.
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I'm not sure what you mean. von Osten apparently didn't try to manipulate Hans, he just did. And even if we assume that F-N and B-Z were cheating, it doesn't have to be the case that those hand movements or card orientations were deliberate as long as partner knew about them and took advantage.
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I was trying to rebut this:
"If someone is cheating, do we have to disclose their full method to prove guilty? No, we don't.Since B-Z use 3 ways to bid(small, normal, large gaps), so if they are innocent they are doing it unconsciously, and it will be quite random. If evidence show that randomness is violated then it is serious, regardless of the exact meaning." (http://bridgewinners...ng-gap-issue-3/)
#19
Posted 2015-October-21, 06:06
George Carlin
#20
Posted 2015-October-21, 08:03
gwnn, on 2015-October-21, 06:06, said:
While I agree wholeheartedly with the point you are making, I do take a small issue with this part. One of the most common such actions you see at club level is placing a card vertically when expecting to win the trick and horizontally when not. I doubt many of the players that do this are doing it consciously.