To bid or not to bid
#1
Posted 2015-February-10, 22:04
♠ 1095
♥ AK3
♦ 52
♣ KQ832
all red, playing MPs. What will you do?
I had this hand in a recent tournament. Usually when I disagree with my partner on the bidding we find a solution or at least agree on the decision being borderline, but not in this case. So we are now seeking external help.
Actually, rather than hearing your system response I would prefer to hear what you would like you system response to be (if that makes a difference).
If vulnerability, scoring, or the seat influence your decision, please let me know.
#3
Posted 2015-February-10, 22:26
I have a flat balanced hand, I have no long 6 card minor or long h suit, pard is a passed hand, I have 3 spades.
#5
Posted 2015-February-10, 23:26
I find that if I pass in these situations, it tends to go 2♠-P-P (or 1N-P-2♠) back to me, and I have to make the same decision one level higher. No thanks; at MPs, I'd rather have partner's input as to whether 3♣ is -1 or -2.
#6
Posted 2015-February-11, 01:47
#7
Posted 2015-February-11, 01:57
agree I may very well miss the 9 card club fit in the given example, though given MP and given insane MP bidding pard may or may not bid with your example over 2s given he knows I pass.
many ways to get to 1100 on this one.
fwiw I do strongly agree with the principle bid early and fast and then shut up but too much for me on this example hand.
#8
Posted 2015-February-11, 02:20
#9
Posted 2015-February-11, 02:29
in any event I agree that defending 2s sucks at MP perhaps why I don't win.
OTOH if somehow the math or bridge experts can teach me, us, when we should defend at 2s....now that is a bridge article I will read.
In any event this post brings into the discussion of prebalance by partner at MP and aggressive vs 2s and aggressive doubles at the 3 level at MP?
#10
Posted 2015-February-11, 04:56
I pass almost all 5332 hands that requires an overcall at 2 level and in range of 10-14 (with some exceptions)
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#11
Posted 2015-February-11, 10:17
2♣ is not as attractive an overcall over 1♠ than it is over either red suit (especially diamonds). It isn't preemptive enough to be worth a stretch
Those 3 spades are a HUGE reason to not bid here. Yes, if partner is short in spades, we'll be ok, so long as he has club length, but why should it be partner who is short, rather than LHO?
The vulnerability is bad for over-competing at mps. Not that imps is any better......doubling off 2m is a low-risk way to get rich, since making 2 doubled is only 180.
As a general rule, if one is thinking of an aggressive action, take a look at one's holding in the suit bid on one's right....unless the opps have announced a fit, be very, very scared of xxx holdings.
#12
Posted 2015-February-11, 10:33
#13
Posted 2015-February-11, 11:02
helene_t, on 2015-February-11, 10:33, said:
Yes. Never in a million years at imps but at mp's I would expect passing to average 40% at best in most fields.
What is baby oil made of?
#14
Posted 2015-February-11, 13:26
m1cha, on 2015-February-10, 22:04, said:
♠ 1095
♥ AK3
♦ 52
♣ KQ832
Thanks to all who have replied so far.
To those who said the hand is too balanced to bid: I think I get your point and I don't disagree. Yet, to elaborate the situation a little further, I believe most of us would bid (double) on balanced hands such as one or more of those below, wouldn't we?
[a] ♠T95 ♥AK3 ♦Q52 ♣K832
[b] ♠T95 ♥AQ83 ♦K52 ♣K32
[c] ♠52 ♥AK3 ♦QT95 ♣K832
[d] ♠52 ♥AQ83 ♦KT95 ♣K32
At the table I thought: 'If I don't bid now, how can I convince my partner later that I have a strong hand?' Obviously I failed to realize that showing my points would have no point at that time since partner had previously passed and full game was very unlikely.
Mike, I particularly like your comment on the three spades. Indeed that got an issue in later bidding and play.
I am going to post the full hand in a couple of hours.
#15
Posted 2015-February-11, 13:50
m1cha, on 2015-February-11, 13:26, said:
To those who said the hand is too balanced to bid: I think I get your point and I don't disagree. Yet, to elaborate the situation a little further, I believe most of us would bid (double) on balanced hands such as one or more of those below, wouldn't we?
[a] ♠T95 ♥AK3 ♦Q52 ♣K832
[b] ♠T95 ♥AQ83 ♦K52 ♣K32
[c] ♠52 ♥AK3 ♦QT95 ♣K832
[d] ♠52 ♥AQ83 ♦KT95 ♣K32
I would pass a and b and would double with d all day long, but c is very close, and I probably would pass unless white, since partner will strain to bid hearts when we belong in a minor.
Quote
At the table I thought: 'If I don't bid now, how can I convince my partner later that I have a strong hand?'
This isn't a strong hand. I know that a lot of players feel that if they hold what would be an opening bid then they have a strong hand and a duty to get into the auction. That is understandable, but very wrong. There is a very real difference in the value of a hand if no one has yet bid, if partner has bid, or if the opps have bid.
This hand is a minimum standard opening bid...not maybe the worst hand one would open, depending on style, but surely close, given that our suit is a minor, rather than a major. We know the opening lead will be a spade 9 times out of ten, and we also know that on a spade lead, especially if LHO holds shortness, this is likely to play very poorly. This hand is not a strong hand, and it is important to understand why.
In addition, your concern about partner (let's assume partner was unpassed) is somewhat circular. If partner knows that you will evaluate as I, and the other passers, have suggested, then your pass doesn't deny these sorts of values. Obviously, it doesn't promise them . But if you can make a game, then the odds are that either partner can bid at his turn or you may be able to balance....and, if not, it is important to accept that there are some hands on which you will get a bad result by doing the right thing. The object is to get good results on average. Bidding here will get some good and some bad results, as will passing. My experience, and I have had a lot of bad results, is that bidding here will on balance work out worse than passing.....that isn't at all the same as claiming that bidding will invariably fare poorly or that passing will fare well.
Quote
Mike, I particularly like your comment on the three spades. Indeed that got an issue in later bidding and play.
I am going to post the full hand in a couple of hours.
#16
Posted 2015-February-11, 21:35
West lead ♠A and ♠Q, then ♦9. Unfortunately I misplayed the hand going down 2 for a shared bottom score. Going down just 1 undoubled would have been pretty good at MPs because 2♠ and 2♥ make, scoring 110 for EW, though better opponents might have got us doubled anyway. 2♦ is also down 1.
Thanks again to all who participated. I learnt much today.
#17
Posted 2015-February-11, 23:40
m1cha, on 2015-February-11, 21:35, said:
West lead ♠A and ♠Q, then ♦9. Unfortunately I misplayed the hand going down 2 for a shared bottom score. Going down just 1 undoubled would have been pretty good at MPs because 2♠ and 2♥ make, scoring 110 for EW, though better opponents might have got us doubled anyway. 2♦ is also down 1.
Thanks again to all who participated. I learnt much today.
I'm bidding 2C also - and yes it's tight because of the vul. - but it's admittedly a bit late since I've seen the hand. At MPs you have to bid. If you pass and West raises to 2S on three spades and a prayer, you're finished. -100 vs. -110 is nothing at IMPs but could be 70% vs. 30% at MPs. Or you could be making 3C.
You can't be dropping tricks in play though
#18
Posted 2015-February-11, 23:55
Was -110 closer in MPs to -200 or closer to -100?
#19
Posted 2015-February-12, 03:16
You lost the board for bidding 2♣ because E should reopen with a X and W can then pass that (for a top) or correct to 2M (for an avg+) depending on how brave they are. You get an avg- at best, possibly a bottom.
Your opponents gave you the board where they failed to double/compete correctly. You get a top.
You gave the board back when you went down 2, instead of down 1. You get a bottom.
Some of this is knowing your opponents (thinking positively on bidding) or picking up bad habits from playing against bad players (thinking negatively on bidding).
#20
Posted 2015-February-12, 06:55
akwoo, on 2015-February-11, 23:55, said:
Was -110 closer in MPs to -200 or closer to -100?
There's no -120 or -140. 2NT by EW should go down. This is the score table (played at our local club):
+100 x2
-110 x6
-200 x3
In two cases EW went down in 2♠ and 3♠. Noone went down -1 in 2♣ for -100, but someone went down -2 in 3♦.