Optimal contract or Par Score
#1
Posted 2014-May-14, 06:06
(something Bridge Composer does http://bridgecomposer.com/Par.htm )
For example: NS 2N; EW 3♠; NS 3♥; NS 4♦; NS 2♣; Par +100; EW 4♠x-1
Thanks !
#2
Posted 2014-May-14, 08:07
#3
Posted 2014-May-14, 21:55
If you DO include a list of making contracts - PLEASE report the full 4x5 box of how many tricks, NOT just a list of which contracts can be made.
#4
Posted 2014-May-15, 07:35
Assume a hand that would require you to bid 3NT using your methods, but the DD sees that you can make only 8 tricks. Should the par Score be 3NT-1 or 2NT ?
Or the other way round
Using your methods you found that 2 keycards are missing so you did not bid slam. Fortunately the trump K will drop/the finesse is working so that DD the slam is always made. Should the par score be 6M or 5M+1 ?
Based on your methods neither you nor your partner was able to enter the auction, but your side could make 3♣-1 when opps played 2M. What should the par score be?
Perhaps one could take the par score from the result list e.g. the contract bid on most tables, but that is most likely biased too.
#5
Posted 2014-May-15, 09:41
It's not a perfect measure, but it's no less useful than the list of all the DD possible results that are commonly included on hand records.
#6
Posted 2014-May-22, 09:45
barmar, on 2014-May-15, 09:41, said:
It's not a perfect measure, but it's no less useful than the list of all the DD possible results that are commonly included on hand records.
I'd like to see a scoring version, similar to cross IMPS, where the comparison is against par. i.e. if par is 100NS and NS score 420 then NS score +IMP(320) and EW score -IMP(320) where IMP(x) is the IMP's received for a differential of x points.
Not a perfect scoring system (since par sometimes requires bad play or bidding to achieve) but pretty good. When par is 600 (for 3NT making) and I score 630, it is no fun scoring negative IMPs because some idiot EW made a ridiculous sac.
#7
Posted 2014-May-22, 10:52
wynsten, on 2014-May-22, 09:45, said:
How would that happen? Suppose there are 31 tables. If everyone else scores 600, and you score 630, you get 1 IMP (1 IMP per pair, divided by 30 pairs). If one pair takes a sac and goes for 800, you get 0.83 IMPs (1 IMP x 29 - 5 IMPs, all divided by 30). You don't get below 0 IMPs unless there were at least 6 pairs taking that sac (how ridiculous can it be if 20% of the field took it?).
But it doesn't really matter. Yes, you might have gotten a negative score, but all the people who scored only 600 got an even lower negative score. Positive or negative isn't important by itself, it's just your score compared to other players that matters. All those pairs whose opponents took the sac will score 800 versus the 600 par, and they'll get 5 IMPs compared to your 1 IMP, so they'll still be 4 IMPs ahead of you.
#8
Posted 2014-May-22, 11:49
hotShot, on 2014-May-15, 07:35, said:
Assume a hand that would require you to bid 3NT using your methods, but the DD sees that you can make only 8 tricks. Should the par Score be 3NT-1 or 2NT ?
Or the other way round
Using your methods you found that 2 keycards are missing so you did not bid slam. Fortunately the trump K will drop/the finesse is working so that DD the slam is always made. Should the par score be 6M or 5M+1 ?
Based on your methods neither you nor your partner was able to enter the auction, but your side could make 3♣-1 when opps played 2M. What should the par score be?
Perhaps one could take the par score from the result list e.g. the contract bid on most tables, but that is most likely biased too.
How is this any different from regular hand results? Some of the hands, you just have to ignore the par. It is the 80% where it is right that helps us learn.
#9
Posted 2014-May-26, 05:53
barmar, on 2014-May-22, 10:52, said:
But it doesn't really matter. Yes, you might have gotten a negative score, but all the people who scored only 600 got an even lower negative score. Positive or negative isn't important by itself, it's just your score compared to other players that matters. All those pairs whose opponents took the sac will score 800 versus the 600 par, and they'll get 5 IMPs compared to your 1 IMP, so they'll still be 4 IMPs ahead of you.
Yes my score relative to the other players who played the same hand is unaffected (except for the non-linearity of IMPs) but it is affected on an absolute scale.
With a large number of tables (such as 31), cross IMPs (the way BBO scores IMPs now) works well. But as the number of tables gets smaller the oddball result at some other table gets undue emphasis and if the number of tables is one (yours), cross IMPs always results in ---. My suggestion is to score as if there were just two tables - yours and one other where the result was PAR. Essentially it takes the "duplicate" out of duplicate bridge and returns it to a 4 person game. For example you could play it for money at a penny per IMP.
#10
Posted 2014-May-26, 19:11
#11
Posted 2014-May-27, 06:41
barmar, on 2014-May-26, 19:11, said:
And back in the day, bridge federations would compose a set of hands, each with some sort of playing point (like an obscure safety play, for example), and players received points for bidding to the correct contract and making it (or defeating it, if it was a defensive point, like underruffing to avoid being squeezed - always popular). They were called PAR contests.
#12
Posted 2014-May-27, 15:45