Contingent Systems
#1
Posted 2014-January-01, 10:26
1D - 1S
1NT - 2D
2NT - 3H
4C - 4D
?
2D = game forcing ask
2NT = 2344 or 2254/2353 without good diamonds
3H = 5-5, unlimited
4C = cue for hearts (alternatives include 3S unsure about 3NT, 3NT to play, 4D cue for hearts, 4H unsuitable for slam)
4D = very slow indeed, described as either a cue bid (if he then went past 4H) or else last train
What does the slowness demonstrably suggest?
#2
Posted 2014-January-01, 10:43
- Choosing between Last Train and a signoff. That suggests 4♥ over other actions.
- Choosing between Last Train (planning to pass 4♥) and a black-suit cue-bid, on a hand with no diamond control. That suggests other actions over 4♥.
- Planning the auction on a hand where he intends to go past game. That suggests describing your hand accurately.
Unless we think that one of these is significantly more likely than others, a hesitation in itself doesn't suggest anything. Of course, any given partnership may have a better idea of what is suggested by a hesitation of a particular duration.
#3
Posted 2014-January-01, 15:40
gnasher, on 2014-January-01, 10:43, said:
- Choosing between Last Train (planning to pass 4♥) and a black-suit cue-bid, on a hand with no diamond control. That suggests other actions over 4♥.
- Planning the auction on a hand where he intends to go past game. That suggests describing your hand accurately.
Only assuming you have a diamond control yourself. If you don't then both the first two possibilities suggest 4♥ I would think.
#4
Posted 2014-January-01, 16:41
FrancesHinden, on 2014-January-01, 10:26, said:
1D - 1S
1NT - 2D
2NT - 3H
4C - 4D
?
2D = game forcing ask
2NT = 2344 or 2254/2353 without good diamonds
3H = 5-5, unlimited
4C = cue for hearts (alternatives include 3S unsure about 3NT, 3NT to play, 4D cue for hearts, 4H unsuitable for slam)
4D = very slow indeed, described as either a cue bid (if he then went past 4H) or else last train
What does the slowness demonstrably suggest?
#5
Posted 2014-January-01, 23:33
Are there alternate ways of showing game forcing 5-5s that this sequence excludes? For example, what would 3H directly over 1N mean?
#6
Posted 2014-January-01, 23:39
#7
Posted 2014-January-02, 13:42
akwoo, on 2014-January-01, 23:33, said:
Are there alternate ways of showing game forcing 5-5s that this sequence excludes? For example, what would 3H directly over 1N mean?
No, this is the only way of showing 5-5 FG. 3H over 1NT would be 5-5 invitational.
#8
Posted 2014-January-02, 18:37
Apart from what is already mentioned, responder could be thinking about blackwooding or how to handle a hand with a void.
#9
Posted 2014-January-08, 08:10
And sealed the Law by vote,
It little matters what they thought -
We hang for what they wrote.
#10
Posted 2014-January-08, 09:29
dburn, on 2014-January-08, 08:10, said:
I don't see why responder would not sign off with that hand. Opener, with 3 aces, would probably continue over a sign off.
#12
Posted 2014-January-08, 10:03
akwoo, on 2014-January-01, 23:33, said:
Are there alternate ways of showing game forcing 5-5s that this sequence excludes? For example, what would 3H directly over 1N mean?
Akwoo's question seems quite relevant, but I would extend it by asking whether Responder could have bid 4H over 2NT instead of 3H with 5-5M and mere game interest.
Would the answer still be:
FrancesHinden, on 2014-January-02, 13:42, said:
?
If 3H already confirmed 5-5 and extras, 4C was cooperating for slam, and the B.I.T. wouldn't suggest anything at all to me other than Responder is taking her time to absorb it all before proceeding.
4H, not 4D, would be "no Diamond control", so that isn't it. We might need LT to show slam interest if we hadn't already shown slam interest.
#13
Posted 2014-January-08, 10:48
And sealed the Law by vote,
It little matters what they thought -
We hang for what they wrote.
#14
Posted 2014-January-08, 12:43
ArtK78, on 2014-January-08, 09:29, said:
Why would opener do that when responder hasn't shown slam interest?
#15
Posted 2014-January-08, 13:27
gnasher, on 2014-January-08, 12:43, said:
That quote was not in reply to me, but my contention that no ruling should be necessary and no usable UI was available is based on a presumption that slam interest (Responder) and slam cooperation (Opener) were established. If a serious method flaw has caused this not to be the case, the B.I.T. and what it might suggest are better known to the pair involved.
Frances herself might be the only one to give an objective ruling (for or against herself); the rest of us can only try to find out their inferences and speculate from there. Of course, right now we don't even know how the auction proceeded from 4D, but dburn's guess about the slow 4D might well be the one we would have to use when deciding whether Opener chose a continuation which demonstrably could have been suggested.
#16
Posted 2014-January-08, 15:45
aguahombre, on 2014-January-08, 13:27, said:
Responder's 3♥ didn't show slam interest. We know that because Frances, who isn't prone to innacuracy in what she posts, told us so (twice).
Quote
You're saying that if the players don't play the same methods as you, you're unable to give a ruling?
Quote
What inferences are you hoping for beyond what appeared in the original post? 2NT includes some 2254 shapes. 3♥ contains all game-forcing 5-5s. Therefore 3♥ includes 5-5s that don't have slam interest.
#17
Posted 2014-January-08, 17:05
Our conclusions will probably end up the same anyway on the issue of the BIT --- that it provided information otherwise unobtainable from the auction alone, given the conditions. I just went a little farther, with how the problem could have been avoided by the simple expediency of a differenly defined set of continuations.
#18
Posted 2014-January-08, 17:19
a) responder expects opener to push beyond 4H with each of the following hand-types:
1) A diamond control, but no values/suitability beyond that already advertised.
2) Maximum values/suitability, but no diamond control.
b) that the 5-level may be in jeopardy opposite one of those hand types, but slam is likely opposite the other.
If that is the case, the slow 4D means that responder was making a complex risk-reward judgement, but doesn't demonstrably suggest any action to opener.
If the way this pair play last train is not consistent with (a) then some action may be demonstrably suggested.
#19
Posted 2014-January-08, 17:32
aguahombre, on 2014-January-08, 17:05, said:
Which is, of course, irrelevant to the ruling.
As for tv, screw it. You aren't missing anything. -- Ken Berg
I have come to realise it is futile to expect or hope a regular club game will be run in accordance with the laws. -- Jillybean
#20
Posted 2014-January-08, 19:16
blackshoe, on 2014-January-08, 17:32, said:
Absolutely. It is only relevant that there is uncertainty about responder's strength thus far...perhaps resolved by the BIT....it is irrelevant why this uncertainty occurred, but when we know why it occurred we are reassured that it did occur.