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Ten-card fit but no ace Game or part-score

#1 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 10:14

We're white, they're red, MP's:

Q6x
KT7xxx
KJ
Q3

You open second seat with 1 and partner shows 10-12 with 4-card support (via 3), what contract do you want to play? Why?

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#2 User is offline   PhilKing 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 10:17

I want to play in 2, because there is a fair chance of 5 losers.

I will have to settle for 3 now. If desperate I could punt 3NT, which may have the same tricks. eg Jxx AJxx Axx Jxx.
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#3 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 14:17

You can easily have 4 quick losers from the top, this hand is all about slow cards, doesn't have a single trick, balanced,... Obvious 3 imo. It's not just because we have 10 trumps that we have to bid game.
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#4 User is offline   Siegmund 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 14:36

I thought I wanted to go to 4H anyway, expecting to make it opposite most hands where partner had two aces.

Ran a quick sim (partner has exactly 4 hearts, 10-12 HCP), and got confirmation that it is only making 4H double-dummy about 30% of the time, which surprised me. I was prepared to be wrong about 4H, but not prepared to see the success rate below 40%. That is low enough that even with the 'opening lead bonus' from the defense you probably aren't making quite often enough.

Guess I learned something new today.
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#5 User is offline   PhilKing 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 14:57

View PostSiegmund, on 2013-July-21, 14:36, said:

I thought I wanted to go to 4H anyway, expecting to make it opposite most hands where partner had two aces.

Ran a quick sim (partner has exactly 4 hearts, 10-12 HCP), and got confirmation that it is only making 4H double-dummy about 30% of the time, which surprised me. I was prepared to be wrong about 4H, but not prepared to see the success rate below 40%. That is low enough that even with the 'opening lead bonus' from the defense you probably aren't making quite often enough.

Guess I learned something new today.


OP stated "10-12" - not 10-12 HCP. It would be amazingly bad for partner to have 12 HCP often, for instance - 9HCP with a doubleton is more typical. So the sim also has to be condemned as well.
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#6 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 18:17

happy with 3h here. Opps inability to enter bidding so far makes it
reasonable to assume they will not enter the bidding at the 3/4 level
vul when we have exchanged so much information.
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#7 User is offline   Siegmund 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 18:18

View PostPhilKing, on 2013-July-21, 14:57, said:

OP stated "10-12" - not 10-12 HCP. It would be amazingly bad for partner to have 12 HCP often, for instance - 9HCP with a doubleton is more typical. So the sim also has to be condemned as well.


Yes, if the sim had said that going was obvious opposite 10-12HCP, I'd have gone on to worry about removing the good and shapely 12s and adding shapely 9s, etc. Since the sim was already telling me not to go I didn't bother with the refinement.

Though, for those of us who open a lot of 11s -- our partners DO only make limit raises with 4432 and 12HCP.
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#8 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2013-July-21, 19:54

View PostHanoi5, on 2013-July-21, 10:14, said:

We're white, they're red, MP's: Q 6 x K T 7 x x x K J Q 3
You open second seat with 1 and partner shows 10-12 with 4-card support (via 3), what contract do you want to play? Why?
IMO 3 = 10, 4 = 6. You are unlikely to make 4. Also 4 is more likely than 3 to disturb sleeping dogs. HCP are fairly evenly split. Opponents must have a fit. If they have a less dull shape and more aces than you, then their "sacrifice" may make.
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#9 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2013-July-22, 18:24

3 never 4 on the auction given. That may even be too high.

I'm not opening this hand 1 ever. I might make a weak 2 opening bid when playing in a very aggressively bidding partnership. Qx and KJ tight are worth less than their point count. Only 1 QT.
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#10 User is offline   fromageGB 

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Posted 2013-July-23, 09:11

View PostSiegmund, on 2013-July-21, 18:18, said:

Though, for those of us who open a lot of 11s -- our partners DO only make limit raises with 4432 and 12HCP.

Even some of those of us who don't open 1 on 11 unless it is a 6 card suit still make a 3 bid on 11/12 HCP. There is nothing to stop responder bidding game over opener's sign-off, and having such strength in the 3 means that when you bid 2 (Jacoby 2NT) you are known to be stronger. This can help in the slam zone.
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#11 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2013-July-23, 09:46

Partner probably held Jxx, Axxx, A10x, J10x and you're supposed to work out how to get to 3N :)

But seriously 3N from your hand may well be more likely to make than 4, but it's almost impossible to explore, you either bid 3 or 3N, and at pairs I'd probably bid 3 but am not too unhappy with 3N.
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#12 User is offline   yunling 

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Posted 2013-July-24, 00:22

A clear 3. This must be the worst 1 opener I have ever seen.
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