Posted 2013-May-05, 13:08
When you have game in your own hand opposite a reasonable fit (ie xxxxx xxxxx x xx), and the opponents have shown a huge fit then consider bidding game lol.
I mean, I don't know how often they bid 1D 2C 4D r/w but I would bet they usually have 10 diamonds. I also don't agree with the premise that partner has 5+ spades for sure, is LHO supposed to make a negative double with 4 spades and 6 diamonds? LHO can definitely have some spades. Even if partner has a doubleton diamond and 5+ spades, we still don't need to buy that well for game to be good. On top of all this, partner is marked with some high card points, maybe he has the queen of hearts or the queen of clubs or the ace of spades, who knows. Don't be so pessimistic. We know partner has short diamonds, the odds of catching a good fit in one of our suits is pretty likely, especially hearts as he hasn't bid 5C which he would often do with 1-4 in the minors. Partner is also a passed hand w/r and didn't preempt in spades so it makes it even more likely we catch a heart fit.
With huge and pretty likely upside, what is the downside? We go off in 4H or 5C when we would have beaten 4D? That's not great but that's such a narrow target and pretty small downside. I doubt we are getting doubled ever, yes they might be able to cash 2 diamonds but they won't know that and that makes it hard to double us.
Bidding on hand 1 is way more likely to result in something good than bidding on hand 2 imo, it's not even close, hand 1 is just a much better hand. Of course I'm happy doubling with hand 2 anyways.