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You Can't Handle the Truth

#1 User is offline   daveharty 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 08:18



Matchpoints, North deals.

The field in a recent club game couldn't handle the truth; nobody bid slam. What's your suggested route to 6?
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#2 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 08:36

I think I'm really struggling after a 1-1N start playing inverted minors and being short of one with the S hand.

Curiously would get there with S as dealer (don't ask but that's a 2 opener for us)
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#3 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 09:09

Even if both players take rosy views, I cannot reach the slam in my favourite natural system at the table. Here at the forum it is easier, but who cares about bidding wiht both hands known?


Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#4 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 09:49

Not impossible.

1 - 1nt (6-9 for us)
2 - 3 (natural game force with a near max for 1nt)
3 - ??? not sure how South should continue but the hand just grew up big time opposite short clubs.
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#5 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 09:56

A specialised 3-suited gadget can help on these hands:-

1 = 15+ nat/bal or 18+ any
... - 1 = most non-GF
1 = unbal GF or 18+ 3-suited
... - 1NT = 6-8
2 = 3-suited
... - 2 = relay
2NT = club shortage
... - 3 = relay
3 = 20-21, 4441
... - 4 = relay
4 = 6 controls
... - 4N = Q ask
5 = no Q or K
... - 5 = Q?
6 = Q, Q, Q, nothing extra
(-: Zel :-)
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#6 User is offline   Antrax 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 09:59

Glad to see I'm not the only one who'd end up in 3NT by S.
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#7 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 10:00

We would not reach it.

Given that it is a 28HCP minor slam with a 44 fit, I would not bother.

I may even go -???, ending up in 3NT.

So the real question is, how to avoid 3NT.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#8 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 10:03

Playing my old system where we had the big 4441 in the multi it's not difficult, N shows a 4441 20-21 (we would downgrade stiff hons other than the A), and S just punts 6
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#9 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 10:06

It seems you might have a fighting chance after 1 - 1N - 2 - 3 - 3. Now, South might Bluhmer (5?) and North can kick it in.
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#10 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 10:09

Here comes another one of those posts that says that it is easy to reach in his favorite system. (Consider that a "I don't have a clue how to reach 6 in any normal system".)

1-1 17+ - 8+ Bal (no 5M), 4441, 5m440 or 5m422
1-2NT Relay - 2=3=4=4
3-3 Relay - 8-10 HCP
3-3NT Relay - 3 controls (A=2, K=1)
4-4 Relay - A/K, no club A/K
6 Then you must have the K

The difficult decision is whether you should try 4. Given that 4NT still has play if South has AK and that slam is still decent if South has the K, I think you should.

The even more difficult decision is whether you should play this system to begin with.

Rik
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#11 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 10:31

after 1-1NT north will never suspect there is a slam with a stiff club, only south can do the trick, but I don't really see how, for me 3M bids after 3 fit are asking/showing colaborational stoppers.
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#12 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 12:00

View PostPhil, on 2013-January-15, 10:06, said:

It seems you might have a fighting chance after 1 - 1N - 2 - 3 - 3. Now, South might Bluhmer (5?) and North can kick it in.

Prefer that order of major suit bids by North, rather than 2H first. The JT of spades, the Heart King, the diamond holding all put it on South to take the plunge. Am all for Bluhmers, but don't think one is necessary this time (How about 4H-not kickback?). It is rare for a slam probe after 1m-1N...but here, it is possible. At least we would stay out of 3NT and play diamonds even if we don't reach 6.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#13 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 12:12

1 1NT
2 3
3 4
Keycard...

There is a chance it's a 4-3 fit but once you see notrump is unplayable I think you might as well go for it. You may well need the same 3-3 break to make 5 as to make 6.
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#14 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 13:01

1-3 (mixed)
3-4
4NT-5
6
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#15 User is offline   quiddity 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 13:42

View Postgnasher, on 2013-January-15, 13:01, said:

1-3 (mixed)


Why do you want to use a mixed raise? Seems like it would be very sad to end up in 3 at matchpoints opposite 4432, and possibly even opposite 4 diamonds.
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#16 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 13:51

If we are giving our favorite systems, maybe gnasher plays unbal 1D?

I agree with disliking a mixed raise in standard methods but even then it can't be that bad.

1C 1H (strong, 8-11 any)
2S 2N (4441, asking for shortness)
3C 3D (short clubs, diamond fit)

should make it pretty easy.

Playing a standardish system in MP I really don't think 1D 1N 3N is that bad, partner rates to have club values and I don't want to help them with the lead. But if you bid around clubs you should find slam obviously.
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#17 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 14:37

View Postquiddity, on 2013-January-15, 13:42, said:

Why do you want to use a mixed raise? Seems like it would be very sad to end up in 3 at matchpoints opposite 4432, and possibly even opposite 4 diamonds.

Sorry, I sometimes forget that half the world plays 3-card diamond openings.

Anyway, the OP did ask "What's your suggested route ..." My suggested route involves playing a 1 opening that guarantees four of them.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#18 User is offline   FM75 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 16:49

Maybe the truth is that it isn't a great slam?

Even if your system will describe 4=4=4=1,
AND your system will not count any honor in clubs describing a 20-23 point hand,
and you can figure out that P has the 3 queens,

you need diamonds 3-2 68% (or the jack falls singleton + 7%),
and you need to pick up the hearts missing the JT (48%, I think)


So if I got the above correct, you have 75% times 48% = about 38%?

Better if partner has a jack or two, but...
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#19 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 16:54

View PostFM75, on 2013-January-15, 16:49, said:

Maybe the truth is that it isn't a great slam?

Even if your system will describe 4=4=4=1,
AND your system will not count any honor in clubs describing a 20-23 point hand,
and you can figure out that P has the 3 queens,

you need diamonds 3-2 68% (or the jack falls singleton + 7%),
and you need to pick up the hearts missing the JT (48%, I think)


So if I got the above correct, you have 75% times 48% = about 38%?

Better if partner has a jack or two, but...

You don't need hearts to come in, and you may not need diamonds to break either.
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#20 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2013-January-15, 16:57

You don't need nearly all of that.

If diamonds are 3-2, you are home (you have 4 spades, 3 hearts, 4 diamonds, and a ruff). If diamonds are 4-1 with the stiff jack, you are home barring losing a ruff (you simply ruff a club then draw trumps). If diamonds are 4-1 with Jxxx onside you are home barring losing a ruff (again, you just ruff a club and pull trumps via a marked finesse).

So you are at least 80 % or so. You even have significant play if trumps are 5-0 onside.
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