Posted 2012-December-29, 09:37
I know we have been told that rho is a known idiot but just on general principles I assume, regardless of evidence, that my opponents are neither geniuses nor idiots. I cannot really imagine this double as being mostly for take out. I have never had the auction, I can well believe that they have not discussed this option, but E has to consider West's problem. Surely West would think "Surely East cannot support all of my three possible suits. If I come in now I could be playing in a 4-3 fit at the three level with fewer than half the highs, why would he want me to do this?". If West, unless he has a clear pull, will generally pass and hope to beat it, then East must have diamonds.
I am going to put my faith in clubs. Maybe they are 3-3, maybe there is a doubleton 9. I plan to lose two spades, one heart, two clubs. I plan to take two spades, one heart two diamonds, three clubs.
Win the first spade, club to the Ace, Jack of clubs. If a spade comes back I take it and lead another club (I think one opponent has a heart entry, the other a club entry, so if spades are 5-2 that's just too bad).
If clubs behave, I think I make this. If not, well, then score it up their way.
I have great respect for Phil's experience and powers of analysis but I swear I have never seen this auction at all and cannot imagine it as a delayed take out. Some play it this way?
Ken
mr1303 writes "RHO is a known idiot (hence the redouble). If you ask what the double means you are told no agreement. LHO leads the J of spades. You duck (agree?) and LHO continues with the 10 of spades. How do you play?"
Agree with Phil that East is likely to hold something like
♠ Qxxx ♥ Ax ♦ QT9xx ♣ Kx. or perhaps
♠ Qxxx ♥ AJx ♦ QT9xx ♣ Q
I guess to win the second ♠, cash ♣A and lead another ♣. Hoping to make 2 x ♠, 1 X ♥, 2 X ♦, and 3 X ♣. If ♣ disappoint, it may be possible to end-play East.