Some stats
#1
Posted 2012-November-19, 07:29
It would be interesting to know (obviously for non-mixed pairs events) whether an all male partnership can generally be expected to outbid an all female partnership at the same table (or bid higher than an all female partnership playing the same hand in the same direction at an other table). Or if (regardless of the gender of the opponents) an all male partnership might be expected to overbid more (or underbid less) than an all female partnership with the same cards, on the basis that each testosterone-fuelled male will be trying to wrest the contract from the other and so drive up the auction.
Of course, collecting the data for such an exercise would be a nightmare, as we don't have the luxury of knowing the location by gender of players in anything other than a mixed pairs. It might be interesting to have a facility to enter some basic personal stats into the entry docket (maybe, for example, including age bracket as well as gender), armed with which today's computerised scoring systems would be able to churn out all sorts of similar interesting comparisons.
If there were fields in your BBO profile for this sort of data we would have a huge population to work with, but of course that would rely on honesty in the profile, and anyway privacy is probably a higher priority.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mstr-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
#2
Posted 2012-November-19, 07:38
Age and skill level are possible confounders. And system. Here in Yorkshire, all-men pairs are more likely to play strong NT which will probably make the declare less often.
#3
Posted 2012-November-19, 07:53
Really it is my opinion that we pay far too much attention to demographic statistics. I'm old, white, male but I assume partner judges me by my play. Still, if someone wants to run these stats, I don't mind giving them out. I am also straight,. Born in Minnesota. Norwegian genes. Anything else? Go for it.
#4
Posted 2012-November-19, 08:12
kenberg, on 2012-November-19, 07:53, said:
Really it is my opinion that we pay far too much attention to demographic statistics. I'm old, white, male but I assume partner judges me by my play. Still, if someone wants to run these stats, I don't mind giving them out. I am also straight,. Born in Minnesota. Norwegian genes. Anything else? Go for it.
I checked it:
You will win 52 % of all your NT games, and 75 % of your slams. You let about 5 % of all beatable games through and 8 % of all partials. You are married and you like fishing and drinking beer.
Back to the topic: I guess that the handhog factor is bigger then the level of aggresivity. But I do not play mixed, I just hear the stories.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#5
Posted 2012-November-19, 08:37
#6
Posted 2012-November-19, 09:35
Zelandakh, on 2012-November-19, 08:37, said:
I think it occurs in ours. My partner has a demanding job and some sessions down the club he's absolutely knackered, in which case I know that me playing more contracts will get us a better score, so I do.
Also some players who do play with clients have been known to hog contracts there, then carry the behaviour over into other partnerships. I occasionally play with one such, and the headlong rush to get the notrumps in first is fun to watch
#7
Posted 2012-November-19, 12:28
#8
Posted 2012-November-19, 12:29
1eyedjack, on 2012-November-19, 07:29, said:
Even then you wouldn't know what position each player was in, except perhaps in Southern Europe where they tell you who sits in what seat.
#9
Posted 2012-November-19, 13:22
#10
Posted 2012-November-19, 15:13
¿ʇsɐǝ puɐ ɥʇnos ǝɥʇ ɯoɹɟ ǝɹǝʍ sʇɐʇs ǝɥʇ ʇɐɥʍ ɹǝpuoʍ ı
#11
Posted 2012-November-19, 17:38
aguahombre, on 2012-November-19, 13:22, said:
The analysis was almost spot on, except that I have switched from beer to wine. Probably the effect of living on the East Coast. Gotta get back home.
#12
Posted 2012-November-19, 17:48
#13
Posted 2012-November-19, 17:57
Why Women Win at Bridge: Daniel Roth
Why Women Lose at Bridge: Joyce Nicholson
Carl
#14
Posted 2012-November-19, 21:53
I believe there are many more factors which screw up the stats. For instance, IMO, the male hand-hog factor is much more prominent than the 55/45 might indicate. The stats are diluted by (again, only in my opinion):
--Women get to declare when they preempt more than men do, because their preempts can be trusted and the men feel more confident in extending.
--Women open NT, rather than upgrading or getting creative, thus ending as declarer.
I have absolutely no emperical evidence to back up those sexist assertions.
#15
Posted 2012-November-20, 05:13
I've done some analysis of club bridge results and North plays much more than 25% of the hands, and way more than 50% of the hands that NS declare. I don't have proof, but here are two hypotheses:
- most events now are scored by bridgemates (including all EBL/WBF events). When entering the declarer, some people don't distinguish between N and S, they just press once for 'N' and leave it. This also has a tendency to make East (rather than West) declarer so the EW bias Simon found may be unconnected or perhaps more evidence about real bias).
- most events (particularly EBL/WBF) ones are not played as multiples of 4 boards (26- board sessions are common). This makes N and E dealer more often. My stats show, unsurprisingly, that dealer is declarer a disproportionate amount of the time.
So overall I don't believe stats saying North declares more mean much; but those saying West does might.
#16
Posted 2012-November-20, 05:17
There's certainly some correlation between gender and standard, at least at high level, but I think that's not what is driving such differences.
#17
Posted 2012-November-20, 07:58
Zelandakh, on 2012-November-19, 08:37, said:
There are problably many pair, regardless of gender, that have a split much worse than 55-45 but 1eyedjack says that the average bias is 55-45, meaning that for each unbiased pair there would have to be a 60-40 pair. Or some such.
Maybe the more routined player tends to sit north because he/she has to operate the bridgemate. More likely, Frances is spot on. Still, the male hand hog effect could be real.
#18
Posted 2012-November-20, 09:16
FrancesHinden, on 2012-November-20, 05:13, said:
This is a 52/48 bias, so other explanations are necessary for the additional 3 percent.
#19
Posted 2012-December-06, 16:18
#20
Posted 2012-December-06, 16:36