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Do you preempt?

Poll: What do you bid? (43 member(s) have cast votes)

What do you bid?

  1. Clear Pass (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. Clear 2H (8 votes [18.60%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.60%

  3. Clear 3H (20 votes [46.51%])

    Percentage of vote: 46.51%

  4. Pass - but 2H is close (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. Pass - but 3H is close (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. 2H - but pass is close (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  7. 2H - but 3H is close (4 votes [9.30%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.30%

  8. 3H - but pass is close (9 votes [20.93%])

    Percentage of vote: 20.93%

  9. 3H - but 2H is close (2 votes [4.65%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.65%

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#21 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-December-05, 02:14

HUm... Doubleton spade is not good: it's the worst holding you could have :P

Note also that xxx is actually better than a singleton. With tripleton there are less chances that they have a spade fit, and a 3H overcall can REALLY mess up things for them.
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#22 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2004-December-05, 12:23

whereagles, on Dec 5 2004, 12:14 AM, said:

HUm... Doubleton spade is not good: it's the worst holding you could have :P

Note also that xxx is actually better than a singleton. With tripleton there are less chances that they have a spade fit, and a 3H overcall can REALLY mess up things for them.

When I have xxx in their suit bid on my right, if they don't have a spade fit, then they might just double us and take the sure profit which will work out well for them.

With xxx and partner having a doubleton spade and doubleton heart; its easy defense for them to lead trump and I will lose 3 spade tricks. Not true with xx.

Similarly, partner can have Kxx, Qxx or a multitude of hands where they will finesse at Trick 1, leading to trump promotions. Again, less chance with xx.

If the opponents have demonstrated a fit, then I would agree; xx is poor, with xxx better, and x better yet. The time to be concerned with this is at the 5 level, not the 3 level.
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#23 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2004-December-05, 12:30

For me it's a clear 3 bid. If it goes wrong, too bad, next board plz :P
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#24 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-December-05, 14:06

pclayton, on Dec 5 2004, 07:23 PM, said:

When I have xxx in their suit bid on my right, if they don't have a spade fit, then they might just double us and take the sure profit which will work out well for them.

This is true, but it's not a problem if the preempt suit is solid.
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#25 User is offline   PriorKnowledge 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 09:02

Chamaco, on Dec 4 2004, 04:55 AM, said:

1) bidding 3H is less constructive than 2H
2) the hand is a "textbook" 2nd seat weak 2 (opposite unpassed pard, disciplined suit requirements and length should help him taking an intelligent decision)
3) opposite unpassed pard, my NV 3-level bids may well have quite bad hands, but 2-level jump overcalls should have a "classical" weak 2.

I would reconsider #1. Or maybe the definition of the word "constructive".

If you open a 15-17 1N with 13 or 19, both cases misrepresent your hand and may lead to partner taking the wrong action. This one is easy to recognize.

If you make a jump overcall with a 12hcp hand, or a simple 2/1 overcall with a 7hcp hand, both cases misrepresent your hand and may lead to partner taking the wrong action. Maybe a little harder to recognize.

10 is the usual cut-off. This hand has 7. Not even close.

I am still confused by the comment that a 3H bid may push the opps to a makeable game while 2H would not.
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#26 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 09:23

Scoring: IMP

1S 2H 2S 3C
3S (all pass)

1S 3H 3S 4C
4S (all pass)
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#27 User is offline   PriorKnowledge 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 09:31

Except that partner may bid 4C or 4H over 3S and then dbl 4S because you made a 2/1 overcall and partner has 13.

Trying to divine all 4 hands and results seems over-thinking to me. Just bid what you have.
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Posted 2004-December-06, 10:15

whereagles, on Dec 6 2004, 04:23 PM, said:

Scoring: IMP

1S 2H 2S 3C
3S (all pass)

1S 3H 3S 4C
4S (all pass)

Hmmm, over 2 overcall, I like the north hand a lot more than just a 2 bid... I'll Dbl and support later, South should be smart enough to bid distributional games. So weither you bid 2 or 3, I'll end up in 4. Pass might be the best to keep us out of 4...
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#29 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 10:25

PriorKnowledge, on Dec 6 2004, 04:31 PM, said:

Trying to divine all 4 hands and results seems over-thinking to me. Just bid what you have.

You wanted an example of how 3H could push opps into game while 2H would not. This is it. Granted, it's perhaps not that good an example, but unfortunately I don't have time to think of something better.

Bidding what one has is all fine 'n stuff, but does NOT exempt one from thinking.

I would however agree that it is perhaps too much masterminding trying to argue that 2H should work better than 3H. Still, if you want to bid 3H, you should be aware of the risks. That's just what I wanted to say :D
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#30 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 15:32

"Still, if you want to bid 3H, you should be aware of the risks. That's just what I wanted to say "

Whereagles are these risks similar to partner doubling a contract because he trusted your bidding and thought you had your bid when in reality you didn't, or are they different risks which you are talking about?
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#31 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-December-06, 16:04

I mean the risk of pushing opponents into a making game on marginal values.
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#32 User is offline   EricK 

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Posted 2004-December-07, 03:01

whereagles, on Dec 6 2004, 10:04 PM, said:

I mean the risk of pushing opponents into a making game on marginal values.

What is the purpose of pointing out, in isolation, the risks of this pre-empt?

Nearly all bids have risks, and nearly all players know that. Pre-empts are especially risky.

The risk of their bidding a game which they would otherwise miss and that game making don't seem particularly high on this hand. I think it is about as likely as their bidding a game which they would otherwise miss and it failing.

But if their fit is in another suit pre-empting makes a big difference to their abilities to diagnose the fit and find the right level.

Eric
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#33 User is offline   EarlPurple 

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Posted 2004-December-07, 04:35

clear 3 but I voted for clear 2 by mistake...
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#34 User is offline   EarlPurple 

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Posted 2004-December-07, 04:41

- At MP, when neither side is vulnerable this is actually the optimal time to pre-empt. Even better than opps vulnerable, because if opps are vulnerable, defending could give us +200 if things fall well for us.

- There is a big advantage in having hearts when they have spades in this situation. Although they can outbid us at whatever level we choose to play, partner can pick his best response when raising, in particular can bid a suit for a lead. So partner could, perhaps, bid 4 or 4 over 3 by them. If 4 we know to defend - a club lead could beat this. If 4 then it's a double-fit and we should consider bidding 5 over 4 by them.

3. The only danger is that we are doubled and go 300 down with them only making 3. This might happen if we have club ruffs and partner has a singleton heart. However MP is about percentages and they'd do well to double 3.
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#35 User is offline   EarlPurple 

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Posted 2004-December-07, 04:43

whereagles, on Dec 4 2004, 12:23 AM, said:

Interesting tactical situation. A 3H is standard, BUT... it runs the risk of pushing opps into overbidding 4S and that might just make! Spades will break, and all finesses seem to be in (pard sits under the opener).

If partner has either black ace I can get a club ruff. And declarer could, in addition, have 2 unavoidable heart losers.
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