jillybean, on 2012-November-09, 09:47, said:
Thanks all. The nice thing about never getting unanimous responses on here is that we get a lot of discussion, the comments are very helpful.
I know I will rarely get all of these decisions right but I hope I can avoid the obvious mistakes. My regular partner and I have have
a rule "invite aggressively and accepted conservatively" but I still tend to take the invite aggressively to ridiculous extremes.
I would pass on both hands. I think bidding is just asking for a poor score when partner can't (and shouldn't) take the joke on the 1st one, and we're just too flat on the second. In essence I agree with Justin on both.
So I could have simply upvoted his post, but I wanted to comment on the 'invite aggressively, accept conservatively' thought, which is, imo, exactly the opposite of the right way to bid.
On many hands we would bid identically, since the hands will fall in the middle and we'd both invite/accept.
Let's assume, and I think this is a valid assumption, that each method will reach an equal number of good games that the other will miss. For example, there will be many hands on which both methods warrant an invite by opener where mine gets to game and jb passes. This will be balanced by games where both of us would accept, but I don't invite and jb does.
So in terms of which approach is best for reaching game, it's a wash.
What tips the scales in favour of invite conservatively/accept aggressively is the 3-level.
JB will have opener stretching to reach the 3-level. When responder rejects, she is at the 3-level on hands on which I am at the 2-level.
It's another wash when we always make 9 tricks, but there will be many hands on which responder has a poorly-fitting minimum and/or the breaks are bad, and now jb is playing consistently 1 trick higher, with no reward when she makes and a big loss, at imps or mps, when she doesn't.
On most hands, the methods won't matter. She reaches the same number of good and bad games as I do, altho on different hands. But I avoid playing at the 3-level unless opener has a good hand...a conservative invite, while she plays more often and on weaker combined hands. Therefore there is, in the long run, a clear and consistent loss from this approach.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari