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How light should I raise here ?

#1 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 20:03



For what it's worth actual hand was played at matchpoints but I am interested in what you do at IMPs too.
I passed but didn't feel well about it. As it happens raising was winning action. I polled some friends and the opinions are split.
What do you think ? If you think the hand is too weak, what is minimum addition to it to make it 3!C. If you think it's 3!C how much lighter would you go ?
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#2 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 20:22

I would always pass this hand. I like where the opps are heading on this hand, and 2 seems high enough to me.
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#3 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 20:50

I would raise (just), but move an honor into the club suit and I would happily raise. If the vulnerability really is w/w then bidding is more attractive (especially at MP). When I have talked about this sort of hand with friends I find they often pass here, so maybe bidding is wrong but I still do it.


View PostArtK78, on 2012-September-26, 20:22, said:

I would always pass this hand. I like where the opps are heading on this hand, and 2 seems high enough to me.


I have no problem with the pass, I even think it is normal, but the pass is because the hand is weak, not because it is chock full of defense, "like where the opps are heading" is just weird to me.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#4 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 20:51

This hand is just on the borderline to me, and might come down to who your partner is and how often they try for game over the raise.

I would raise w/w at MP as I feel partner tries for game less often in that case, especially once two opponents have bid, and there is much more upside at this form of the game in raising.

I would never raise vulnerable.

That said if someone passed I would not really criticize it. As a general rule if you're not sure whether to bid w/w at MP or pass try bidding though.
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#5 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 20:53

View Post655321, on 2012-September-26, 20:50, said:

I would raise (just), but move an honor into the club suit and I would happily raise. If the vulnerability really is w/w then bidding is more attractive (especially at MP). When I have talked about this sort of hand with friends I find they often pass here, so maybe bidding is wrong but I still do it.




I have no problem with the pass, I even think it is normal, but the pass is because the hand is weak, not because it is chock full of defense, "like where the opps are heading" is just weird to me.



OMG 655321!!! As usual we are in synch
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#6 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:03

I have less concern about partner making game tries on this auction than most players would.

Partner has less expectation from my 3C raise on this auction than most partners would. Might chicken out at unfav., but otherwise would rather give the opps a bit more trouble.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#7 User is offline   SteveMoe 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:24

w/w + 9 trumps = 3. Not encouraging at all. Hoping they walk into a Major...
Be the partner you want to play with.
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#8 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:28

I heard of a man, in the 1800s, who once chose to overcall 2C over 1D with only 5 of them. It worked spectacularly well, to the point that he was thought to be a witch. He was tortured and hanged.
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#9 User is offline   SteveMoe 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:40

View PostJLOGIC, on 2012-September-26, 21:28, said:

I heard of a man, in the 1800s, who once chose to overcall 2C over 1D with only 5 of them. It worked spectacularly well, to the point that he was thought to be a witch. He was tortured and hanged.

LOLROTF!!!
Actually, partner plays 'em so well most of his 5 card overcalls play like 6 ;)
Auction Whist Witch? Really???
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#10 User is offline   jogs 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:45

View PostSteveMoe, on 2012-September-26, 21:24, said:

w/w + 9 trumps = 3. Not encouraging at all. Hoping they walk into a Major...


Having 9 trumps is no guarantee your side has 9 tricks.
Even when your side has 20 points the expected tricks can be
fewer than 9.

4=4=2=3 facing 3=2=2=6 with 20 HCPs
The expected tricks is 8 2/3.

One of the two partners must hold a singleton before the
expected tricks is greater than 9.
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#11 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:54

Quote

Having 9 trumps is no guarantee your side has 9 tricks.
Even when your side has 20 points the expected tricks can be
fewer than 9.

4=4=2=3 facing 3=2=2=6 with 20 HCPs
The expected tricks is 8 2/3.

One of the two partners must hold a singleton before the
expected tricks is greater than 9.


Once, I knew a man who went down white white at MP in 3C with half the deck and 9 clubs. He was distraught, until he learned that he got a good score, FOR GOING DOWN!!!!, because the opponents could make something.

I knew another man once, who was in 3C with 9 clubs and half the deck, white white at matchpoints. Amazingly, the opponents could not make anything, and neither could he!!! But his idiot opps saved him, with 9 diamonds, by bidding 3D.

Another time, it must have been the same hand you're talking about, I knew of an RHO who doubled 2C with 4342. Now, his partner could not take a joke over the 3C raise and bid 3H with 2452. Now, they played four diamonds, because of my raise.
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#12 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:56

View PostJLOGIC, on 2012-September-26, 20:51, said:

This hand is just on the borderline to me, and might come down to who your partner is and how often they try for game over the raise.

I would raise w/w at MP as I feel partner tries for game less often in that case, especially once two opponents have bid, and there is much more upside at this form of the game in raising.

I would never raise vulnerable.

That said if someone passed I would not really criticize it. As a general rule if you're not sure whether to bid w/w at MP or pass try bidding though.



wow thanks

this is why I come to the forums to learn stuff like this, thanks.
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#13 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 21:57

Bidding to 3C early in the auction when their shapes are largely undefined is going to be good if we have 9 clubs regardless of if someone has a singleton, or if we are making, or if we are down, a vast majority of the time. If we play it there and can't make, it's probably a good save. And we are unlikely to be allowed to play it there, so widening their ranges can only cause them to be less accurate.

Of course, we do not have to have 9 clubs, partner is allowed to overcall 2C on a FIVE CARD suit w/w at MP opposite a passed hand over 1D pretty liberally.
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#14 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2012-September-26, 22:08

This thread has convinced me that this is a good auction to have 3 raises (weak constructive and limit) much the same as people who play transfers over like 1m 1M X have. A natural 2N can just XX here. There are some losses involved in this but it is probably important to be able to raise light without partner thinking you have much.
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#15 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 02:14

I bid 3 and this is not close nonvul. I have a useful doubleton and they will have a harder way to find their right fit.
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#16 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 03:01

I'd bid 3, regardless of vulnerability and form of scoring. The opponents' sequences are much easier if we pass, so we should strain to raise here. I wouldn't worry about how many trumps partner has - we're not that likely to get doubled anyway.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#17 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 03:05

View Postbluecalm, on 2012-September-26, 20:03, said:



For what it's worth actual hand was played at matchpoints but I am interested in what you do at IMPs too.
I passed but didn't feel well about it. As it happens raising was winning action. I polled some friends and the opinions are split.
What do you think ? If you think the hand is too weak, what is minimum addition to it to make it 3!C. If you think it's 3!C how much lighter would you go ?



I want to repeat that bidding 3c in this hand is really an expert bid.

This is why we..me...nonexperts come to the forums to see this.
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#18 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 03:13

View Postmike777, on 2012-September-27, 03:05, said:

I want to repeat that bidding 3c in this hand is really an expert bid.

This is why we..me...nonexperts come to the forums to see this.

5 HCPs + 1 for the doubleton = 6 points => single raise.

What do you mean "expert bid"? ;)

Rik
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#19 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 04:22

View PostTrinidad, on 2012-September-27, 03:13, said:

5 HCPs + 1 for the doubleton = 6 points => single raise.

What do you mean "expert bid"? ;)

Rik



6 pts = raise to 3 ok.....for me that is an expertbid


This shows how nonexperts are confused on this hand but youdont understand confusion.


jlogic explain much better
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#20 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-September-27, 04:29

I doubt any experts even gave a moment's thought to counting 5+1 here. Their choice ---to bid or not to bid (Sorry, LC) --- was born in their experience with the situation.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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