quanti
#1
Posted 2012-September-25, 03:02
1D - (2S) - 2NT - (p)
4NT - (p) - ??
Do you agree with 2NT? What now?
- hrothgar
#2
Posted 2012-September-25, 03:18
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"But I don't want to go among mad people," Alice remarked.
"Oh, you can't help that," said the Cat: "we're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad."
"How do you know I'm mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn't have come here."
#3
Posted 2012-September-25, 03:20
By the way, isn't 5D a rejection here?
- hrothgar
#4
Posted 2012-September-25, 04:33
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#5
Posted 2012-September-25, 05:12
I find it difficult to visualise what partner's looking at where he opens 1♦ then bids a quantitative 4N over 2N.
#6
Posted 2012-September-25, 09:38
if we accept, driving to any slam, he'll hold J10x Qx AKQxxx AQ or the like and we are beat off the top, and will wish we had passed 4N.
if we reject, he'll hold Kx xx AKQxxx AKx and 6♦ is cold.
Feel free to tweak these examples to accord with your sensibilities about opening action if you'd choose something other than 1♦...I am not trying to specify partner's hand with precision but, rather, to indicate the nature of the issues that worry me.
We can talk ourselves into whatever decision appeals to us. My take, and I accept that I am on the conswervative side, is that partner asked me a question and I think I have an obvious answer.
I hold a minimum 2N call with the worst possible spade holding, in terms of right-siding the contract or avoiding quick losers. So I will reject. I see no particular advantage to playing 5♦ rather than 4N, and there has to be a small chance that 5♦ is just down off the top, so I'll stay with 4N.
#7
Posted 2012-September-25, 10:54
han, on 2012-September-25, 03:20, said:
By the way, isn't 5D a rejection here?
I think that once you chose to bid 2NT (personally dont like it ) it idoesnt mak lots of sense as rejection - you chose to play NT and hide the ♦ at lower level, i.e. you would rather play 3NT than 5♦.....so now you change your mind when partner shows a better hand?
I would take anything over 4NT as looking for better slam spot than 6NT - but thats my crooked logic

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"But I don't want to go among mad people," Alice remarked.
"Oh, you can't help that," said the Cat: "we're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad."
"How do you know I'm mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn't have come here."
#8
Posted 2012-September-26, 05:51
In general I'd say that after a quantitative 4NT bid 5m in a suit already bid is a sign off. Of course after 1NT - 4NT it is forcing.
- hrothgar
#9
Posted 2012-September-26, 06:03
I agree that 5♦ is non-forcing, because we have 5NT and 6♦ available to offer a choice - 5NT being more notrump-oriented, presumably. I'd be nervous of making assumptions about 5♠ or 5♥.
Even though 5♦ is non-forcing, shouldn't it be constructive? It's hard to picture a hand that wants to sign off in 5♦.
Given that, I'd bid 5♦. If I'm uncertain about the correct level, maybe partner can help, or at least share the blame.
#10
Posted 2012-September-26, 06:20
Zia says I must construct at least 3 hands before misbidding a slam. So ...
Opposite as little as ♠Ax ♥Qx ♦At9xxx ♣AKx we are on a 1-1 break for grand. How bad can it be? Even a sub-min ♠Kx ♥Jx ♦Akxxxx ♣AQx is worth being in. If we have matching club doubletons and partner has Jxx of hearts, things aren't so good, but we can't find that out, and we are still decent opposite ♠Ax ♥Jxx ♦Akxxxx ♣AQ and solid if he has the club king.
There are some losing constructions, but I am prepared to take a chance.
#11
Posted 2012-September-26, 06:40
Do you have any sensible agreement how to ask whether partner holds the given holding or a more serious one?
I do not have one, so I would not construct just hands where they cannot cash two spades....
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#12
Posted 2012-September-26, 06:45
PhilKing, on 2012-September-26, 06:20, said:
Zia says I must construct at least 3 hands before misbidding a slam. So ...
Opposite as little as ♠Ax ♥Qx ♦At9xxx ♣AKx we are on a 1-1 break for grand. How bad can it be? Even a sub-min ♠Kx ♥Jx ♦Akxxxx ♣AQx is worth being in. If we have matching club doubletons and partner has Jxx of hearts, things aren't so good, but we can't find that out, and we are still decent opposite ♠Ax ♥Jxx ♦Akxxxx ♣AQ and solid if he has the club king.
There are some losing constructions, but I am prepared to take a chance.
All of these hands have no wastage in diamonds. Isn't he at least as likely to have Kx Jx AKQxxx Axx or Ax Jxx AKQxxx Ax ?
#13
Posted 2012-September-26, 07:23
gnasher, on 2012-September-26, 06:45, said:
First is not a slam try, since partner is also supposed to construct hands (he needs a real perfecto, probably with good clubs, and many good hands we have with controls and fit yield little play). I don't think you can justify the second either. He needs controls - not slow values like the diamond queen or Jxx of hearts. I don't see how he can think we are likely to have a slam.
As to Codo's point that we may be missing the AK of spades, that gives partner xx QJx AKQxxx AK (a proper slam try) on which he should jump to 4♦.
On the actual auction, I place him with a control rich hand with honours in every suit, otherwise he ain't got his bid!
#14
Posted 2012-September-26, 07:30
#15
Posted 2012-September-26, 21:48
#16
Posted 2012-September-27, 02:36
1) Partner didn't open 2NT
2) Partner didn't jump to 4♦, which would have set diamonds as trump, and give us room to cue
So, I don't think partner is balanced and I don't think he has a onesuiter. I could imagine that partner has a big (20 HCPs) 4M5♦22 (♠AJxx ♥Qx ♦AKxxx ♣AQ) or 4M5♦31 and thinks that bidding his major is daisy picking. Opposite such a hand, I would bid 6♦.
Rik
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
#17
Posted 2012-September-27, 17:34
about gettting slaughtered by a ton of spades in any nt contract. It is imps and it is hugely unlikely
p has made a 4n bid without a fairly distributional hand and a lot of power. I have a fair amount of
offense myself in diamonds and If I am going down in a contract it will not be 3/4/5 tricks. I will
bid 6d here and hope that p understands that my spade stop might have been a tad on the
sketchy side.