gnasher, on 2012-September-24, 13:27, said:
I didn't say that was his hand - that was just an example of a layout where it's right to take the ace. In fact, I think that all such layouts have the same characteristics:
J AKxxx AKxx Kxx
J AKxxx AKxxx Kx
Jx AKxxx AKxx Kx
J AKxxxx AKxx Kx
I understand that but all of those hands are basically the same hand and you keep assuming short clubs in declarers hand. In fact these hands are less likely than your first one.
J AKxxx AKxxx Kx for example, declarer wouldnt play this way, would you ? He would have played on diamonds after clearing trumps, which he has to anyway.
J AKxxxx AKxx Kx pd wpuldnt lead his stiff trump, after all you might have held Qxx. But you may convince me if 5
♦ meant something else than just a cue of course.
I maybe wrong but declarer not clearing trumps but playing clubs now makes me think he has more than 3 clubs. It would be funny of him to go down when he has one of those hands you listed and West was ruffing diamond, no ?