32519, on 2012-August-22, 00:01, said:
I find this post of yours quite intriguing. I would love to hear more on the reasoning behind it, why “the expert consensus is that "Stolen Bid" is one of the worst ideas around.”
Partner opens the bidding with 1NT (15-17 HCP). RHO is holding a hand with which he is willing to compete. So his overcall is either natural or conventional. However as responder you also want to compete. Unfortunately by the time the bidding gets to you the HCP still available are starting to run out. So you wanting to enter the auction as well will probably with a distributional hand of your own.
1. A natural overcall by the opponents has “stolen the bid” which you would have used for Jacoby Transfers e.g. 2♥. Without the “stolen bid double” responder has to bid 2♠ directly now and the weaker hand becomes declarer.
2. A conventional overcall e.g. 2♣ promising both majors; doubling the bid as your real suit gives opener some more information on the hand layout enabling him to make a better decision as to what level to compete the auction.
There are essentially four types of hands where responder will want to bid after 1NT and an overcall by RHO. These are:
(1) Game hand. Yes, it's very possible to have this after the overcall, and I want to be able to find the right game.
(2) Hand with a long suit of my own. I'd like to be able to introduce this suit in a non-forcing way.
(3) Competitive hand where I'm not sure where to play; moderate values with two or three of the unbid suits.
(4) Opponents have made a mistake, and I want to penalize them.
Playing double as takeout, you are in good shape on all but hand type 4, where you have to pass and hope for the best. Playing double as penalty, you are in good shape on all but hand type 3 (perhaps a bit ahead of takeout doubles on hand type 1 because you can penalize if this seems more lucrative than bidding your own game). Playing double as "stolen bid" you're only well-equipped to deal with hand types 1-2. Further, you may have some problems even on hand types 1-2; for example after 1NT-(2
♥) how do you bid stayman on hand type 1? The opponents have really "stolen" both 2
♣ and 2
♥ (and 2
♦, but you probably didn't have that hand considering). If 3
♣ is stayman (seems to be how a lot of people play it) then what if you had the hand that bids 3
♣ without interference? Playing "stolen bid" here seems to prioritize the (really rare and not that useful) three-level "system bids without interference" over truly necessary calls like stayman.
This is not to say that "stolen bid" is always a bad strategy in all situations; in fact good players often use it when opponents made the cheapest bid. But it's not a good
general method for coping with interference to our 1NT opening... which is how a lot of bad players use it.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit