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lead problem

#21 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 07:31

View PostTomi2, on 2012-February-15, 16:50, said:

to solve this problems: one need to cash the club tricks, opener has kjtxxx - / - xxx - Atxx and had some fear that a passive defense will let the contract make

dummy had xx - ktx - akjxx - xxx

I am not sure this is such a good double.
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#22 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 08:37

I am sure this is not a good double. You can't just invent a meaning for a bid because it happens to match what you were dealt.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#23 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 08:46

I would play it as a tiger double. Opening hand with strong diamonds and no respect for the opponents.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
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#24 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 08:53

This dbl is giving me a headache. Obviously pard doesn't want a spade lead, so I'll lead a diamond.
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#25 User is offline   S2000magic 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 08:57

I'd take it as a Lightner double and lead a diamond.
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#26 User is offline   gordontd 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 09:49

View Postbluecalm, on 2012-February-15, 17:02, said:

Btw, some good card sense from partner doubling it. I am impressed.

Not really. He should have anticipated that it would be likely to generate a diamond lead.
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#27 User is offline   gordontd 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 09:50

View Postbenlessard, on 2012-February-16, 08:46, said:

I would play it as a tiger double. Opening hand with strong diamonds and no respect for the opponents.

Why would he have an opening hand with strong diamonds when he's opened a weak two in spades?
Gordon Rainsford
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#28 User is offline   Yu18772 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 12:50

View PostTomi2, on 2012-February-15, 16:50, said:

do you overcall every 12/13 hcp with 5 hearts over 2 spades on 3rd level vulnerable?....


How often do you miss 4-4 heart fit on this auctions?

The 3 bidder didnt get any new info on the second round, in fact when he put his first pass he was the only hand at the table knowing an approximate strength of all the hands - which is close to 20-20 situation by looking at the bidding and 12 ugly HCP in his hand. Also no - imo partner doesnt have the right to raise 3 to 4, on 8 points, because 8-10 points are expected strength when you bid after the preempt. They would raise on 11-12 or very good fit and distribution.
Its not the point wether I would or would not overcall, the point is that this hand didnt get any new positive info from the bidding - surely balancing at the 3 level is expecting the point range that you have (assuming partner counts to 40 and sees the bidding), so what made him think that the hand got better? The Qx opposite partners potential AJxxxx?
So if I would bid with that hand I would do it the first round, but if I decided then that my 6 card suit is not good enough it didnt change this round as well, it only became easier to get doubled.
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#29 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 13:32

Quote

I also like Bluecalm's ♥ A idea. As a matter of fact probably the best lead. We may lose tempo for this lead but better than shooting in the dark.


I would love to take credit but this is what I learnt from Tomi2 about this situation :)
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#30 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2012-February-16, 15:30

consistent with the bidding, the only reason for p
to x 4h is they need a dia lead and dont want you
to lead a spade. It does not mean their x is perfect
it merely means in their opinion a dia lead will give
your side its best chance of setting 4h.

the odds of p being short in hearts AND void in dia
have to border on 0%.

It is much more likely they have AQ or AQJ of dia
and knowing hearts are splitting badly they are
trying to get you off to the best lead possible.
If P is x 4h with their WEAK 2 SPADE bid merely
because trumps are splitting badly, it is time to
find another partner because they are assuming you
are too stupid to find an x when trumps are splitting
badly.
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#31 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2012-February-17, 09:26

The relevant figure is not how often a diamond beats it, but how often a spade lets it through when a diamond would have beaten it, compared with how often a spade beats it when a diamond would have let it through.

If partner thought the latter was higher than the former, he would not have doubled, so I lead a diamond.
I prefer to give the lawmakers credit for stating things for a reason - barmar
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