[gnasher]

I think their strategy should be to bid 5♥ on:
- Some hands where they think slam is making.
- A similar number of hands where they think it isn't.
- All the hands where they don't know whether slam is making or not.

If you follow this strategy and then the opponents bid slam, with the first category of hand you should save; with the second you shouldn't; with the third you should guess use your judgement.

Edit: That's an oversimpliciation, of course: in real life the hands won't fall neatly into these categories. Instead, the 5♥ bidder's expectations will be in a continuous range from "Probably making slam" to "Probably not making slam", but the aim should still be to have some sort of symmetry around the "No idea" point.

[JLOGIC]

I agree with that gnasher. In fact I was playing against mickyb recently and he bid it with quite a good hand, and I gave him credit. That said, ime most people are very exploitable with this 5H bid.

[wank]

JLOGIC, on 2012-February-15, 00:52, said:

I agree with that gnasher. In fact I was playing against mickyb recently and he bid it with quite a good hand, and I gave him credit. That said, ime most people are very exploitable with this 5H bid.

i had a similar experience to this which caused me to start mixing up my play. p opened a weak 2♥, i raised to 3, LHO Xed and RHO who was obviously a strong foreign visiting player floated it with JT stiff of trumps and a 3244 10 count or so. they got us for 200 when they had no game on.

obviously the pass wouldn't occur to most people but she trusted me to have a hand where i thought 4♥x would be too expensive.