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Bid or Pass?

#1 User is offline   jmcw 

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Posted 2012-January-08, 22:53



Expecting a few wtp comments.
Nevertheless I would very much like to read the arguments.

Scoring is IMPS, near the end of what feels like a close match. Your opponents are a very good pair if that makes a difference
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#2 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2012-January-08, 23:54

I would bid my 5 card suit headed by the AKQ.
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#3 User is offline   frank0 

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Posted 2012-January-09, 01:44

Reasons to Overcall:
1. I have a solid suit and an opening hand.
2. If I pass, west will rebid 1NT very often and will end up in playing NT contract and partner will usually lead a and make me uncomfortable. Therefore I have to overcall.
3. 2 takes a lot of space. If the bidding goes 1-pass-1-? and I have K742 JT3 9 AKQ53 the overcall is less attractive and I'll pass but here it's a clear 2. West may have a 2 reverse hand and you disrupt opp to find the fit.
4. Your length in spade indicate shortness in spade on partner's hand, when you end up in playing the contract you can usually ruff a few spade losers in dummy.
5. Even though overcall is sometime dangerous, but there are plenty to gain and in the long run it's a +EV choice.
6. In quick, out quick. You should put pressure on opponent before they exchange all the information. If the bidding goes 1-P-1-p-1NT-p-p-? and you balance 2 here you're opponent usually have an easy decision to double you because they know the hand is misfit.


Reasons to Pass:
1. Having an opening hand does not mean you can overcall at 2 level, especially when you are red and at sandwich position. Usually 2 level overcall promise 6 cards suit and an offensive hand. Your high card strength prevent opponent from bidding a game and by overcall you may transfer a small negative/positive to big penalty. In addition, you're missing J, T, 9 in trump, which increases the chance that you're opponent will punish you by a lot.
2. By overcall with a defensive hand partner may hang you with 5 sacrifice over opponent's 4.
3. Your spade and club length in opp's suit indicate a misfit hand, you should let opponent struggle when the hand is misfit.
4. Overcall can let your opponent find 5-3 fit at two level by supportive double.
5. Even though you can gain something by overcall, but there are plenty to lose and in the long run overcall is a -EV choice.
6. Pass does not mean you're out forever, if the bidding goes 1-p-1-p-2-p-p-? you can balance 3 because you know when they have fit we must have.

I like to bid when I'm actually playing the hand but when someone ask me for opinion or in any type of discussion I say I pass and make the argument like "Weak players are not able to spot the trouble of strong hands." to let other people think I'm expert.
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#4 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-January-09, 04:24

2H here, using FrankO's reasons #2,3,4, and 6 for doing it.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#5 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2012-January-09, 05:22

I think passing is reasonable. I have no idea how to decide which action is better though.
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