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Leading against 3NT

Poll: Leading against 3NT (11 member(s) have cast votes)

Choose your lead

  1. big spade (1 votes [9.09%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.09%

  2. middle spade (7 votes [63.64%])

    Percentage of vote: 63.64%

  3. small spade (1 votes [9.09%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.09%

  4. big heart (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. middle heart (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. small heart (2 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  7. diamond (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  8. club (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   Siegmund 

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Posted 2011-November-13, 22:19

Matchpoints, none vul, partner deals.

pass-(1NT)-pass-(3NT)-all pass. You are up to bat with

QT976
J92
543
64

Your lead?

(There will be a followup question from partner's side of the table, too - as to how he ought to interpret your lead.)
0

#2 User is offline   S2000magic 

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Posted 2011-November-13, 22:38

2

I don't fancy being able to set up and cash spades, but partner has some high cards, so perhaps he has a suit to set up. I can offer more help in hearts than in clubs and diamonds, and if LHO had 4 hearts he may have Staymanned.

It's a shot.
BCIII

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#3 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2011-November-13, 23:10

I lead a boring spade - 10
Wayne Burrows

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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 03:45

Boring spade as well. We don't have any side entry, but there are still some layouts that enable us to run the suit.
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#5 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 04:11

It depends on my partnership. Usually I would lead the spade ten. However, with some partners, the spade nine.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#6 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 04:39

2, hoping to find my partner's suit.
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#7 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 06:04

10 for me too.
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#8 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 08:22

2 for me. This can win a couple of ways, including on the next board(s) after declarer plays for me to have 4 hearts and then tilts for the rest of the round after he sees he was cold. This is better in a long KO I guess.

I give serious consideration to leading the 10 though, especially at MP, since I think more people will lead it. But I think the heart is more likely to work out. I should really learn to run sims though to see whether this is true. My suggested meta-win on this hand, though, is not quantifiable thru sims.
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