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Bid over preempt?

#21 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 12:52

These small diagrams and my bad eyes made me look at the auction like it was 3 passed to me and I was as a result wondering about all the comments. Now that I see the opening call was 3 it makes it more sense. Now I can understand 3NT as well as X. The pass is a bit too pessimistic on this hand esp when you consider that RHO at these colors has in essence a license to steal.
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#22 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 13:00

I think you mean LHO. RHO has license to nail us if we are wrong.
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#23 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2011-November-14, 13:15

I'm used to considering myself a bona fide chicken but even I can't stomach passing here....3N seems obvious. Consider the following non-exhaustive list of factors:

-a favourable 1st seat 3 can be very, very weak

-partner may have a good hand, even opening values, and be unable to act due to shape/club length

-we hold Axx in clubs, which allows us to hold up to exhaust RHO of clubs....and LHO will usually not have a side entry that we need to concede

-partner may hold a club card

-partner may have a trick source

-because we wil know a lot about the hand early on, we will form good inferential or explicit counts and may be able to really apply pressure to rho

-because of our knowledge, and our holding of tenaces, we will often make more tricks in 3N than one would expect should partner have, say, 6-8 hcp

-given that we can't significantly lower partner's expected strength (see earlier point about his being unable to act if he has club length, etc) we can reasonably expect that more times than not, partner will supply about 8 hcp or so

-passing means collecting 50 a pop

-even if 3N fails, and we have no place to run, rho may be unable to double due to a lack of clubs and/or sure tricks

I don't double because this hand screams notrump. We definitely don't want to play, for example, 4 on a 5-3 fit.
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