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question to those who play strong club deducing things from opponents silence

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 07:50

The bidding starts: opponents are vulnerable

1-1 (strong-negative)
1-2 (very strong-nat 5-7)

And the bidding procceds in a way (perhaps suboptimal) where at some point you will win grand slam in clubs only if partner has 3+ hearts, but the only thing you know is that he has 6+ clubs and 0/1 HCP in hearts at most.

You have singleton heart (stiff ace), and around 20 HCP (leaving the opponents with 13-16 total). How many hearts would you say partner has?
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#2 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:11

View PostFluffy, on 2011-September-08, 07:50, said:

The bidding starts: opponents are vulnerable

1-1 (strong-negative)
1-2 (very strong-nat 5-7)

And the bidding procceds in a way (perhaps suboptimal) where at some point you will win grand slam in clubs only if partner has 3+ hearts, but the only thing you know is that he has 6+ clubs and 0/1 HCP in hearts at most.

You have singleton heart (stiff ace), and around 20 HCP (leaving the opponents with 13-16 total). How many hearts would you say partner has?


What do I know about the opponent's defensive methods (Presumably, I have their convention cards)
Do they overcall aggressively on balanced hands or not?

If they do, I would probably guess that they'd be able to find a nine card heart fit, meaning that partner should have 3+
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#3 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:18

Can you give the full auction please? Perhaps there are some clues in there.
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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:28

its not a specific question, because I don't expect this hand to happen again, its more like a general one, how much info do you draw from oppopnents not bidding in your shortness?

This specific problem was:

1-1
1-2
2-3
4-4
4NT-5


A8xxx
A
AJx
AQxx

We later agreed that since in general we don't cuebid singleton in partner's suit, on this context partner either had K or extras (7th club)


Opponents... If I recall correctly they were BBO golden stars but not usual partnersip.
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#5 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:39

View PostFluffy, on 2011-September-08, 08:28, said:

its not a specific question, because I don't expect this hand to happen again, its more like a general one, how much info do you draw from oppopnents not bidding in your shortness?


There's a reason I prefer relay based methods over strong club openings...
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Posted 2011-September-08, 09:09

View Posthrothgar, on 2011-September-08, 08:39, said:

There's a reason I prefer relay based methods over strong club openings...

:)
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#7 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2011-September-12, 02:20

That's the reason I use asking bids here.
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#8 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-September-13, 08:32

you mean asking bids at the 5 level?, will partner think Qxx is as good as xx?

Anyway I don't udnerstand why everyone is avoiding the question. It doesn't seem so hard to say: My estimation of partner having 3+ is 60% or whatever.
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Posted 2011-September-13, 08:42

My estimation of partner having 3+ is 60% or whatever.

Indeed, it's not so hard... :P
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