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Any reason to think 6 is on?

#1 User is offline   dcohio 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 07:55

Matchpoints, regional side series


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#2 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:34

IMO Ogust is a waste with the N hand and N should just bid 4
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#3 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 08:38

A priori I'd say no reason... but simulate 1000 hands compatible with the bidding and make up your mind.
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#4 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 09:03

No, not much reason. Not a good slam when you watch both hands either.

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#5 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2011-September-08, 09:25

I wouldn't have opened this with a weak 2.
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#6 User is offline   Yu18772 

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Posted 2011-September-09, 02:51

Not really, but if you want an objective answer dont post both hands.Posted Image
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#7 User is offline   Siegmund 

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Posted 2011-September-10, 22:25

A super-tip-top-maximum weak two and the slam is still only (just shy of) 50%. There is never any shame in missing a 50% slam at matchpoints.
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#8 User is offline   jogs 

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Posted 2011-September-11, 18:42

Bid 4. If you make 12 tricks you will probably get a good score whether you bid slam or not. Just don't go for a bad score when making only 11 tricks.
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#9 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2011-September-12, 03:22

Hi,

North can count / hope for

6 tricks in hearts, 1D, 1C, 1 outside value,
1-2 spade ruffs,
they may lead trumps to begin with,
= this makes 10-11 tricks

As it is, South has the Ace of spades, the out side value
and 3 spades, so you get 2 spade ruffs.

So the answer to your question is - no.
The above demomstrates also, that 5H is not safe.

If you have the methods to find out below 4H, about the spade
Ace and the club shortage, which you need to get your 2 ruffs,
than maybe ...
But the club shortage vs. the AQxxx is no pos.

With kind regards
Marlowe

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#10 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2011-September-12, 12:29

North sometimes can try to induce a 6S sacrifice, (here the vulnerability isnt perfect and we are missing a H) but bidding slam purely on its own has little merit. I would just bid 4H.
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#11 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2011-September-12, 12:42

I don't understand 2N.

if partner has a pile of c*&p, we want to bid 4 asap to try to shut out the opps. If partner has a decent hand, we want to bid 4 partly because we rate to make and partly to shut out the opps.

if partner has a very good hand, we want to bid 4 because we'll make and because it may shut out the sacrifice.

The one thing we don't want to happen is to allow the opps room to bid (or in this case, double) spades.

We aren't ever looking for slam here....look how well these two hands mesh and slam is still borderline...it's not as if we have a huge amount of communication here and even if we did, we could simply be down.
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#12 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2011-September-12, 12:44

Agree, 2NT seems a mistake.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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