What's the opening bid / later plan?
Opening bid - the plan -
#3
Posted 2011-August-01, 17:38
and it is also a tad light for such an action. I would start
1c
and plan my bidding accordingly
if p bids 1d I would bid 3n hoping they will
bid 4n if they have decent ten count balanced.
if p bids 1h I would bid 2s (if they then bid 3s I would jump
to 5c and if they bid 4s I would bid 6c)
if p bids 1s I would bid 2h doing the same with clubs if p
raises hearts as i did with spades.
if p bids 1n I think it safer to bid 5c
if p bids 2n I would be in slam range and I would start with
3h (which should show concern for diamonds (and possibly spades)
for nt purposes. If p cannot stop dia we should just bid 6c
and be happy even if 7 makes. If p bids 3n our odds of slam
go down significantly and I think pass is best.
#4
Posted 2011-August-01, 21:35
Really hate to jumpshift into 2 card major, too far.

--
Granted no good options....hopefully opp will overcall or pard will not force me into an ugly 3nt rebid over major.
#6
Posted 2011-August-01, 22:15
"Learn from the mistakes of others. You won't live long enough to make them all yourself."
"One advantage of bad bidding is that you get practice at playing atrocious contracts."
-Alfred Sheinwold
#7
Posted 2011-August-02, 03:35
Ant590, on 2011-August-01, 17:12, said:
What's the opening bid / later plan?
mike777, on 2011-August-01, 17:15, said:
If pard bids 1d or 1nt I will try 3nt.
gszes, on 2011-August-01, 17:38, said:
and it is also a tad light for such an action. I would start
1c
...
Both deserve a dummy similar to ♠Kxx ♥x ♦Qxxxxx ♣xxx
But this craziness can apparently be topped:
chasetb, on 2011-August-01, 22:15, said:
This guy deserves a dummy like ♠KQJx,♥xxx,♦xxx,♣xxx
wank, on 2011-August-01, 21:49, said:
Finally a lone star with some sense for hand evaluation.
I sometimes get the impression that something is seriously wrong calling this department "Advanced and Expert-Class-Bridge".
Rainer Herrmann
#11
Posted 2011-August-02, 05:53
Anyone up for some simulation? Don't forget opps are favorable so they may preempt aggressively in 1st or 3rd seat...

#12
Posted 2011-August-02, 06:13
Free, on 2011-August-02, 05:53, said:
Anyone up for some simulation? Don't forget opps are favorable so they may preempt aggressively in 1st or 3rd seat...

One danger of 1♣ is that partner has something like xxxx, Kxx, Jxxx, xx and this is plenty for 5♣ although opps will almost certainly rescue you here.
Do you have the mechanisms to catch up with just how vast this hand is opposite ♠KQxx and ♣xx ?
I would open 1♦ with the minors reversed, but due to a system kink, would open 2♣ with this as I show a GF one suiter with clubs after 1♣-1suit by bidding a GF unbal 2N then a NF 3N which I don't want to do.
#13
Posted 2011-August-02, 07:41
Free, on 2011-August-02, 05:53, said:
I doubt this.
Assume 6 ♣ does not make. The most likely reason is that partner is weak.
Against 3NT opponents will attack the suit where you have at most one stopper. If ♣ do not run you need 2 stopper in every suit. In this case there will often be 12 tricks in ♣ even with a loser in ♣.
If ♣ run, you have ten solid tricks in your hand. Not likely that you will not have a play for 12 tricks then.
But even if your believe that 3NT is a likely good contract (I don't), why does a 2♣ opening stop you from reaching it?
Quote
Why is this the most likely scenario for slam missed?
Let partner bid a major. Now what? You can now rebid what you like. Reverse in a non suit or jump around. Nothing will convince partner that you have such a monster.
It will be rather a hit and miss affair by you with little cooperation from partner.
For the record: The Rubens-Kaplan elevator, which is a good one for trump contracts, considers this hand worth 24.5 points.
And if opponents do interfere. What does it help to open 1♣? Partner just needs KQJx in either major and a doubleton ♣ for 7♣ to be excellent.
Quote

Oh I can simulate if you tell me what restrictions you want to apply to the other hands.
From experience I know whatever I simulate to prove or falsify a claim, those who do not like the result will critic the assumptions made for the simulation, no matter what these assumptions had been.
I ran a blank simulation (1000 deals), specifying nothing for the other hands.
Result:
Average number of tricks in notrump: 9.58
Average number of tricks in ♣: 11.56
3NT made on 640 deals
7♣ made on 274 deals
6♣ made on 568 deals
5♣ made on 774 deals
To simulate the effectiveness of the specific sequence 1♣-1♦-3NT, I specified in a separate simulation for partner to have at least a 5 card ♦ suit and any other suit being shorter than ♦.
Then 3NT makes more often of course: 842 deals
But 7♣ still makes on 236 deals and 6♣ on 497 deals
But partner will almost never disturb 3NT even when there are 12 tricks in ♣ or even notrump (268 deals), because he is almost always not strong enough to invite.
Rainer Herrmann
#14
Posted 2011-August-02, 07:52
[/quote]
1 K-S C, then, if it's not all pass, 3 K-S C, claiming a one-suited, 9-trick hand. I'm telling you, K-S minor structures r duh bom.
Regards and Happy Trails,
Scott Needham
Boulder, Colorado, USA
#15
Posted 2011-August-02, 08:44
I can't conceive of a bid other than 2♣
(Even if you have some high level preempt to show a good suit, good hand this hand has way too many controls to consider it)
#16
Posted 2011-August-02, 08:49
I need 10 tricks to open 2♣ when I have a minor, and this hand has a great suit and nice controls.
By the way, after 2♣, I will not pass 3N.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
Ant590 asks "IMPs in a reasonable field. What's the opening bid / later plan?"
IMO 2♣ = 10, 1♣ = 8
Agree with wank and rhm that 2♣ is best. The traditional test for a two opener is "more honour tricks than losers". If you open 1♣ then you may forgo the chance of implementing a "later plan"