Toss top and bottom board
#1
Posted 2011-January-06, 17:39
#2
Posted 2011-January-06, 17:41
-- Bertrand Russell
#4
Posted 2011-January-06, 17:49
Ideally the software would toss the joke results, i.e. the spite 7NTXX-13 boards, but it seems bad to penalize someone (or give credit to the rest of the field) for making slam on some exotic squeeze when the remainder of the declarers went off.
#5
Posted 2011-January-06, 18:19
#6
Posted 2011-January-07, 03:46
If you mean in the statistical sense of estimating as accurately as possible what the distribution of results on the board should be if played many times, no, throwing out results is a Bad Thing.
If you mean some very specialized sense like trying to estimate what par should be on a board, you can make a case for it, but you can make even better cases for all of means, medians, and modes than you can for trimmed means, except in a few really odd situations.
#7
Posted 2011-January-07, 05:55
manudude03, on 2011-January-06, 18:19, said:
why should they be losing about an imp? the most likely explanation* for this traveller is that:
at one table defence was incredibly stupid and let the contract through
at one table declarer was incredibly stupid and did not even take the 11 tricks they had to take
so why "should" the normal non-stupid people lose an imp because of two or three incredibly stupid people?
*but by no means the only explanation, of course it could be that for example the declarer who went down 2 was playing the best line, or that the declarer who made it made it legitimately and the rest made the mistake
George Carlin
#9
Posted 2011-January-07, 07:32
Anyway I am not even in favour of Butler scoring (it seems artificial to decide that the top 1 and bottom 1 are "bad" scores - why not the top 25%? or top 49%?) - just asking manudude why he's being categorical.
It is my personal belief that you can't say anything certain about what you "deserved" or "should have got" or so on, in bridge, or football, or figure skating etc.
George Carlin
#10
Posted 2011-January-07, 09:13
ckmooring, on 2011-January-06, 17:39, said:
I would be more interested in seeing the results of removing each pair's top and bottom score
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#11
Posted 2011-January-07, 09:29
In theory, there's no reason why BBO could display both
1. The normal IMP score
2. The Butler IMP score
I understand that certain scoring types actually significant distort style of play
Its entirely possible that the "optimal" line for a given hand might be different at IMPS, BAM, and MP.
However, other than additional development time/complexity I don't see any real reason not to simulatenously display multiple different score metrics.
With all this said and done, there's a hell of a lot of stuff that I'd rather see than changes to the scoring system
#12
Posted 2011-January-07, 10:23
hrothgar, on 2011-January-07, 09:29, said:
And if we're making any changes to the scoring system, I think upping the number of boards compared from 16 to something higher for the MBC would be a good start.
-- Bertrand Russell
#13
Posted 2011-January-07, 10:37
Unfortunately there is often some lunatic result that shifts both sides IMP scores apart.
There is no solution to this, because there are boards that don't have a "par" score, but the problem gets smaller if more scores a taken into consideration.
Unfortunately the Windows client can only handle 16 scores playing in the MBC. This restriction is a heritage from the time when the number of players logged to BBO had only 2 digits and not 5 as it is now. So unless the windows client is dropped or updated(there is no plan to do that), it will not get more.
#15
Posted 2011-January-08, 22:24
gwnn, on 2011-January-07, 07:32, said:
That's how duplicate bridge works. If someone gets a gift, everyone else playing that direction is "punished" just as much as if the pair with the good result had done it by finding a great squeeze. Matchpoints and IMPs are based on the score, not how it was achieved.
#16
Posted 2011-January-10, 16:01
gwnn, on 2011-January-07, 07:32, said:
Anyway I am not even in favour of Butler scoring (it seems artificial to decide that the top 1 and bottom 1 are "bad" scores - why not the top 25%? or top 49%?) - just asking manudude why he's being categorical.
It is my personal belief that you can't say anything certain about what you "deserved" or "should have got" or so on, in bridge, or football, or figure skating etc.
Really? I've always found that when I win, I deserved it because I played well. When I don't win, I was either unlucky (pairs), or my teammates had a bad day (teams). Seems to be true all the time.
#17
Posted 2011-January-10, 16:25
barmar, on 2011-January-08, 22:24, said:
Like I said, I wasn't arguing for or against any particular scoring system. All I took exception to was why manudude seems to think that one side of the tables who got 6NT-1, an apparently 100% normal result, "should get" 1 IMP and the other "should get" -1 IMP. It is not clear to me that this is true. In fact, it seems to be that the whole idea of Butler is to give 0 IMP's to all these pairs because the 6NT-1 result is so normal that no one ought to get any imps for it. So it seemed to me that manudude's argument was "Butler is bad because pairs should get the scores from ximps, not Butler", an apparently harsh and categorical statement. It might be, however, that I missed his argument on why they "should get" 1 IMP, or I missed someone else's argument. I still don't understand exactly what merit in bridge is, other than in the long run when one plays worse bridge one gets worse results, cheaters never prosper, and the force be with you.
George Carlin
#18
Posted 2011-January-10, 19:39
#19
Posted 2011-January-11, 15:18
Butler scoring is bad because improving your bridge score can decrease your IMP result. The question of whether to throw out outliers for any calculation (Butler datum or cross-imp comparison, or matchpoints, for that matter) is a different question.
I agree that more results to compare against is better, and that 16 is too few, and that Fred has explained why before and why it's not going to change soon before as well. But IMP pairs is a crapshoot to begin with, in the MBC the craps table is slightly flatter than a mountain range, and it isn't the world championships, or qualifying for it. Anything from +2 to -2 IMPs is a zero. Deal with it.
#20
Posted 2011-January-11, 15:22
barmar, on 2011-January-10, 19:39, said:
It's more consistent with the spirit of XIMP scoring, while it's less consistent with the spirit of Butler scoring.
Would you agree with this:
The problem with Matchpoints is that when the whole room has -140 and I have -150, then I get a zero, but I should get about average.
?
George Carlin