Posted 2011-January-04, 20:24
Lol. I tried to bluff some old dude in poker yesterday, he tanked for like 3 mins and then called (story of my life) then called me "young and foolish." I guess I'll take "young and certain." It's better than old and senile!
Edit:
Sorry I cannot help it, but who do you think, on average acts more confident that they "know" what is right,
1) Older people
2) Younger people
The older people might cite wisdom, experience, whatever. Even when wrong/proven wrong, the older people are less likely to cede, especially to younger people. But at the end of the day, it comes down more to personality than anything else. I think some people act certain, some people act wishy washy. I'm sure you'd like to believe that all people when they get older realize they are more likely to be wrong in what they think than they did when they were younger, but that is not true. Again it comes down to personality and how people age.
And of course when discussing bridge, someone who is an expert (you or me) is more likely to think they're right about something, and are more likely to be right about something, than someone who is not an expert, regardless of age. For instance mtvesuvius rarely speaks with authority...shouldn't he under your theory, since he is only 14 or 15?
In my experience older people who are not expert are more likely to overestimate their knowledge/think they're right when they're not, but of course that comes down to personality as well.
You will rarely hear young people categorize and lump all elderly people together since it violates "respect your elders." You will often hear old people do that, and not use logic or arguments to back it up. Of course, they will again cite their wisdom.
Unfortunately, wisdom is not always a substitute for intelligence. If you did hear young people lump older people together, they might factually say that older people are:
1) Less capable of learning
2) Less capable of admitting they were wrong
3) Less likely to accept an argument of someone younger than themselves, even if the younger person is more likely to be right or has a better argument
4) Less capable of adapting
5) More biased/prejudiced against groups of people, for instance younger people
6) MORE arrogant (oh yes!)
among other things. It is assumed that all people become wiser as they age. It is assumed that this wisdom translates into some kind of inherent knowledge. In fact you might even argue that older people are, on average, more likely to think they know everything than young people! These assumptions are of course arrogant by themselves. I guess it helps some older people sleep at night, but hey at least I recognize that not all older people are the same and should not be stereotyped as such.
Perhaps, if you are capable of it, you might consider that I am confident when discussing certain bridge situations, especially with you, because:
1) It is both human nature and in my case my natural disposition to be confident when I am arguing, especially about bridge, especially when discussing bridge with people who I consider to be generally inferior players and thinkers.
2) You, as I posted, made a logical thought process error. It was obvious what your error was, hence I pointed it out (that's why it's a discussion forum). Gnasher, who is also good at bridge and no doubt smarter and a better thinker than me, also did not agree with your statement. No one has posted agreement with you. So, I saw where you went wrong, other people I respected did also, and no one agreed with you. That makes me more confident that I am right and you are wrong.
3) You frequently make those types of errors on the forums. Your defense is often something about youthful arrogance err CONFIDENCE. This does not make me gain respect for you or your positions, and does not make me think that when you disagree with me that you are more likely to be right.
If I was wrong and you proved it, that would be fine, I would acknowledge it (an advantage of being young!). Would it make me less confident? Probably not, I know that I can be wrong, it happens.