Posted 2004-August-21, 02:48
jtfanclub, on Aug 21 2004, 12:27 AM, said:
1eyedjack, on Aug 20 2004, 08:24 PM, said:
There is a considerable difference in the playing strength between the three possible hand shapes:
1-4-4-4, or 1-4-5-3, or 1-4-6-2
Fair enough. Now tell me, if I told you the exact distribution, which ones would you want to be in game?
distribution have have 6 losers, he'd have found something else to bid. So he almost certainly has 5, with a tiny chance oIf it matters, the rare cases where you could have such a count and f 4. Of course, it would be a lot nicer if that KJ was in diamonds....
Strangely enough I think that the 1-4-5-3 shape is the least attractive. 3 card Club support for your 4 card Club suit exposes you to the greatest expected number of losers in the suit. If you went purely on LTC I MIGHT be tempted to pass 3H If I knew he had a 6 loser hand with this shape at MP (I would always go to game at IMP). Sure the total LTC would indicate game given your own 8 loser hand, but then you are giving up on all of the benefits of using splinters, that give you a chance to re-evaluate. KJx in Spades is wasted.
But if you say he should have a 5 loser hand I am going to 4 under all conditions.
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m
s
t
r-m
nd
ing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
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