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What's your lead (maybe very simple)

Poll: What's your lead? (53 member(s) have cast votes)

What's your lead?

  1. Spade (20 votes [37.74%])

    Percentage of vote: 37.74%

  2. Heart (14 votes [26.42%])

    Percentage of vote: 26.42%

  3. DA (15 votes [28.30%])

    Percentage of vote: 28.30%

  4. D6 (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. CA (3 votes [5.66%])

    Percentage of vote: 5.66%

  6. Low Club (1 votes [1.89%])

    Percentage of vote: 1.89%

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#21 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-February-04, 05:08

Hi,

given your description also the Ace of clubs beats it, since,
you will be able to switch (*), or do they have a fast discard?

(*) assuming that you can read p signal + the dummy.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#22 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2010-February-04, 06:21

Indeed, ♣A also beats it if I switch to ♦A, they don't have quick discards (unless I'm mistaken and declarer only has 3 ♦s and ♣KQx)
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#23 User is offline   dicklont 

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Posted 2010-February-04, 08:58

Free, on Feb 4 2010, 01:03 PM, said:

What I don't understand is the argument "partner could've doubled 3♦".  All we need in partner's hand to defeat the contract is ♦K or ♠A.  With ♦Kxx or longer, partner will never double 3♦ anyway...  Passing 3♦ doesn't mean he can't have King.

The chance that partner holds ♦K is already small to begin with when the opps show the majority of the highcards.
I agree that passing does not mean that partner can't have ♦K, but it diminishes the likelyhood.

However, I never thought about the fact that diamonds is the winning lead in two cases, partner holding ♦K or ♠A, and there maybe even a third case when he holds ♠K and declares finesses over me.

So I've learned a thing here. Thx!
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Finding your own mistakes is more productive than looking for partner's. It improves your game and is good for your soul. (Nige1)
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#24 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2010-February-04, 09:23

spade for me

2nd choice, heart.

The only likely risk of a passive lead is declarer setting up long diamonds. Other than that I think there's no need to get busy here.
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#25 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-February-04, 10:08

I'm surprised at the huge preference for the ace of diamonds over the ace of clubs?

If a diamond switch is nescessary as partner has the k of d then it is surely possible to find at trick 2. Seems like leading the club ace is less likely to leave declarer with many quick discards which is the principle danger?

I am also surprised at the large preference for a passive lead. Feels to me that leading a minor rates to be right but i have no strong preference for which ace i would lead.
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
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