[manudude03]

I'd be making pretty damn sure im in at least 4♥ when I have play opposite nearly all hands as long as it has an ace (Axx void xxxxx xxxxx is pretty much cold....) and I'm cold barring a ruff opposite any hand with the ♠Q.

OTOH, 5♣ looks easy for NS.

[Fluffy]

you led ♠10 and declarer played north to have ♠Ax ducking the next round and keeping the heart entry in dummy

wait that only brings 4 defensive tricks

that's the est I could sorry

[jh51]

manudude03, on Jan 15 2010, 06:35 PM, said:

I'd be making pretty damn sure im in at least 4♥ when I have play opposite nearly all hands as long as it has an ace (Axx void xxxxx xxxxx is pretty much cold....) and I'm cold barring a ruff opposite any hand with the ♠Q.

OTOH, 5♣ looks easy for NS.

at 5♣ you lose a trick in each suit except trump

With south bidding strongly, and partner silent, how is one to expect that partner has the Q♠ Any old Ace does not bring the contract to 10 tricks, only the A♠. Without a spade honor in east's hand, west needs a minor suit A or K (with south holding the A and ducking or else East has to have an entry) and North must have a spade honor (and you have to guess which one it is. After south's takeout double, I would not have been surprised to find him with AQxx of spades.

I was prepared to bid to 3♥ when red, and would have bid to 4♥ white. North's pass let me off the hook as I figured I was guarenteed a plus score vs a likely minus.