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HUM and BSC - are they worth it?

#101 User is offline   david_c 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 17:15

hrothgar, on Dec 1 2008, 11:59 PM, said:

If forcing pass systems didn't work, there wouldn't been a need to ban them...

Wouldn't there?
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#102 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 17:27

awm, on Dec 2 2008, 02:08 AM, said:

hrothgar, on Dec 1 2008, 05:59 PM, said:

If forcing pass systems didn't work, there wouldn't been a need to ban them...

The folks who played these methods (many of whom were/are top talent) were quite clear how they felt about the merits of these system...

The argument goes something like this though:

These sorts of methods mess with inexperienced pairs who have no idea how to defend them. If you play these sorts of methods in a pairs event or the early rounds of a big team event, you will encounter lots of pairs who have no idea how to defend them. You will thus run up a big margin against these "bad pairs" or "unprepared pairs" regardless of how the methods perform against prepared opposition.

So in terms of "can these methods win a big tournament" the answer is certainly yes. Especially at pairs your score depends a lot on how effectively you beat up on the weakest/worst prepared opposition.

But the general feeling is that adopting weird methods just for the purpose of "bunny-bashing" is not very fair, even though it does improve your chance of winning a typical event with a wide-ranging field. The reason for banning these methods is not because "good players are afraid to face them" but because "good players think it is unfair that they can trounce a team using weird, inferior methods but still lose to that team in the overalls because the weird methods team was able to so effectively bash weaker unprepared opponents."

So we need to ask: "do these methods help you win against top-level opposition which has had time to prepare in advance"? The people who like these methods will claim that they do help you, since otherwise they are acknowledging that they participate in the ethically shady "bunny-bashing" activity (playing inferior methods simply to "mess up" weak players). Probably they believe what they claim too. But that doesn't mean they are right. In fact the tournament record of these methods is very mixed -- there are many examples of supposedly better players using supposedly better methods who nonetheless lose to supposedly weaker players using supposedly weaker methods even in fairly long team formats.

The Poles and the Aussies had great luck at top levels of competition playing forcing pass...

It seems rather ridiculous to refer to the finals of the Bermuda Bowl and the Olympiad as "bunny bashing"

Quote

In fact the tournament record of these methods is very mixed -- there are many examples of supposedly better players using supposedly better methods who nonetheless lose to supposedly weaker players using supposedly weaker methods even in fairly long team formats.


If one team is usng a strong pass system and the other isn't there is going to be a hell of a lot of variance. The reason that I threw in the Runyon quote was to try to forestall this rather obvious point...
Alderaan delenda est
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#103 User is online   awm 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 17:36

hrothgar, on Dec 1 2008, 06:27 PM, said:

The Poles and the Aussies had great luck at top levels of competition playing forcing pass...

It seems rather ridiculous to refer to the finals of the Bermuda Bowl and the Olympiad as "bunny bashing"

Really? My impression was that the Aussies have not done particularly well internationally, despite having many teams that play unusual methods (forcing pass, transfer openings, etc). As mentioned previously, the Aussie team playing very vanilla methods in a recent Bermuda Bowl was their best performance in quite some time...

The Poles on the other hand have had a great deal of success internationally. But while their experiments with forcing pass were certainly successful, they also had teams do quite well playing Polish Club without a whole lot of BSCs. I don't see any strong indication that those Polish teams which were playing forcing pass did much better than the more recent ones using Polish Club.

The finals of Bermuda Bowl and Olympiad normally allow forcing pass don't they? The banning of these methods is in effect for the round robin which does include a great number of weaker teams.
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#104 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 17:47

awm, on Dec 2 2008, 02:36 AM, said:

hrothgar, on Dec 1 2008, 06:27 PM, said:

The Poles and the Aussies had great luck at top levels of competition playing forcing pass...

It seems rather ridiculous to refer to the finals of the Bermuda Bowl and the Olympiad as "bunny bashing"

Really? My impression was that the Aussies have not done particularly well internationally, despite having many teams that play unusual methods (forcing pass, transfer openings, etc). As mentioned previously, the Aussie team playing very vanilla methods in a recent Bermuda Bowl was their best performance in quite some time...

The Poles on the other hand have had a great deal of success internationally. But while their experiments with forcing pass were certainly successful, they also had teams do quite well playing Polish Club without a whole lot of BSCs. I don't see any strong indication that those Polish teams which were playing forcing pass did much better than the more recent ones using Polish Club.

The finals of Bermuda Bowl and Olympiad normally allow forcing pass don't they? The banning of these methods is in effect for the round robin which does include a great number of weaker teams.

1. Pairs have a lot of lattitude to play what they want in the finals of the Bermuda Bowl, which means jack ***** compared to the costs associated with having having to switch systems mid event.

The pairs who abandoned these methods are VERY vocal about why they did so and make it perfectly clear that this decision was not based on their perceptions about technical merit.

2. The Australians actually have a pretty decent track record if you compare their success with their population. (Big populations give you all sorts of advantages when you're trying to put together a competitive team). More over, their top finish was back in the day when Martson and Burgess were anchoring the team and playing strong pass...

(BTW, before you start commenting that strong club, transfer based systems with relays, you might want to include pairs like Newell and Reid in your cacluations)
Alderaan delenda est
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#105 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 17:57

csdenmark, on Dec 1 2008, 03:45 PM, said:

You are asking who the message is aimed for. It is for the regulators.

There is plenty to criticise about the EBU, its regulations and decision making processes, but to say that its regulators act for themselves is a criticism even I can't endorse.

Nick
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#106 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 18:39

FrancesHinden, on Dec 1 2008, 08:14 AM, said:

As one of the regulators I can answer a few of the (implied) questions here...

My personal preference is generally for more permissiveness and fewer restrictions. I believe that the personal preferences of the other regulators vary across the whole range of possible preferences.

The regulators however don't regulate according to their own preferences, but they try and do what they think is best for the game. 

Based on the correspondence received by the L&E, I would say that on balance there are an equal number of people asking for more permissive regulations, and complaints that the current position is already too lax.

As for initiating direct consultation of a 'representative sample', the EBU is supposedly a democracy.  There is a Council, consisting of representative of each county, and they are consulted on all new regulation.  There is also the new club committee, but in place to represent the interests of club players (rather than high-level tournament players) who are also consulted on such matters.

Players are grateful to legislators and regulators, who do well in difficult circumstances. As far as systems are concerned, consultation seems to me to be of limited efficacy. I still think that if regulators tried to indulge the preferences of all the different factions, then the game would become even more fragmented, pleasing even fewer players. At the extremes are ..
  • Simple souls who want Bridge to be a test of play technique and bidding judgement. To that end, they would like a level battle-ground, with everybody using the same weapons. Especially, they resent opponents seeking "unfair" advantage, subjecting their victims to a new variety of poison-gas, at every encounter.
  • System geeks who regard Bridge as the ultimate partnership game -- a communications war with easily jammed channels of narrow bandwidth. For them, making best use of the limited vocabulary available is a fascinating challenge.
Most players are in-between. They occasionally tinker with their conventional weapons but tend to feel safer with legal protection from the unfamiliar. Few of them will be satisfied with any given regulatory compromise. I feel that such players could quite quickly adapt to and enjoy one or other of the extreme regulation levels (standard system or anything goes).
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#107 User is offline   gerry 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 19:43

nige1, on Dec 1 2008, 07:39 PM, said:

FrancesHinden, on Dec 1 2008, 08:14 AM, said:

As one of the regulators I can answer a few of the (implied) questions here...

My personal preference is generally for more permissiveness and fewer restrictions. I believe that the personal preferences of the other regulators vary across the whole range of possible preferences.

The regulators however don't regulate according to their own preferences, but they try and do what they think is best for the game. 

Based on the correspondence received by the L&E, I would say that on balance there are an equal number of people asking for more permissive regulations, and complaints that the current position is already too lax.

As for initiating direct consultation of a 'representative sample', the EBU is supposedly a democracy.  There is a Council, consisting of representative of each county, and they are consulted on all new regulation.  There is also the new club committee, but in place to represent the interests of club players (rather than high-level tournament players) who are also consulted on such matters.

Players are grateful to legislators and regulators, who do the best they can in difficult circumstances. As far as systems are concerned, consultation seems to me to be of limited efficacy. I still think that if regulators tried to indulge the preferences of all the different factions, then the game would become even more fragmented, pleasing even fewer players. At the extremes are
  • Simple souls who want Bridge to be a test of play skills and bidding judgement. To that end, they prefer everybody to use the same methods. Especially, they resent opponents seeking "unfair" advantage by subjecting them to a new variety of poison gas, at every encounter.

  • System-geeks who regard Bridge as the ultimate partnership game -- a communications war with easily jammed channels of narrow bandwidth. For them, making best use of the limited vocabulary available is a fascinating challenge.
Most players are in-between. They occasionally tinker with their conventional weapons but tend to feel safer with legal protection from the unfamiliar. Few of them will be satisfied with any given regulatory compromise. I feel that such players could quite quickly adapt to and enjoy one or other of the above alternatives.

Hi everyone,

I was wayne's forcing pass partner all those years ago and there is one point that hasn't been mentioned before regarding judgement. When one plays forcing pass what happens in practice is that auctions when your side is dealer are much more competitive than when 'normal' methods are being used. The non-dealing pair do not get to plug their hands into the "black box" of their system, but ironically neither do the forcing pass pair because, of course, no one sits there quietly when the oppos "open" a 13+ pass or an 8-12 opener.

The upshot is that forcing pass results in more judgement being required, not less, by both pairs because no-one gets to lean on the crutch of a well oiled system that will bid most normal hands to a reasonable spot with little effort or judgement necessary.
With some the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he pleases with himself, and the product of his labor; while with others the same may mean for some men to do as they please...with the product of other men's labor.

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#108 User is offline   gerry 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 19:57

Further, every bunny can bid 1nt-3nt and cash 9 tricks. This is not evidence of judgement or skill. If I open 1 1H fert in front of a good pair holding the same cards they will no doubt bid exactly the same way for a deserved result. The pair of bunnies may get confused and anything might happen. The point is that it is their lack of skill and judgement that is the cause of this, not my bid, after all the good pair had no problem. To me it seems that this is no different to opening a preempt. Weak pairs founder much more than strong pairs when confronted with a 3H opening, but without it they will still bid 1nt-3nt and cash 9 tricks. Bunnies have many weaknesses, that is why they they are bunnies, exploiting these weaknesses is perfectly fair; surely there is no-one out there who thinks it is unsporting to preempt freely against weak pairs.
With some the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he pleases with himself, and the product of his labor; while with others the same may mean for some men to do as they please...with the product of other men's labor.

The shepherd drives the wolf from the sheep's throat for which the sheep thanks the shepherd as a liberator, while the wolf denounces him for the same act as the destroyer of of liberty.

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#109 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 20:30

At the risk of being derided by Hrothgar again...

Robert A. Heinlein said:

Democracy is based on the assumption that a million men are wiser than one man. How’s that again? I missed something.


I am not sure where folks get the idea that committees whose purpose is to regulate a game must necessarily be "democratic" anyway, at least in the sense that some here seem to be using the word. On which wall is that written?
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#110 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 20:39

FrancesHinden, on Dec 1 2008, 08:13 AM, said:

Club can permit whatever methods they like.

The same is true here. In practice, at least in my area, this seems to be, as one club owner told me "you can play anything you like" - until someone complains, and then you're told "that bid is banned". B)

Club owners here refuse to say up front what the rules are. Makes it awfully hard to do anything that "everybody" isn't already doing, since those are the only things you "know" (or are at least pretty sure) are allowed.

The ACBL has recently made official their stance on happenings at clubs: they aren't getting involved. If you don't like the rules at your club, says the ACBL, either convince the club management to change the rules (fat chance, say I) or play somewhere else.
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#111 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2008-December-01, 20:47

david_c, on Dec 1 2008, 07:15 PM, said:

hrothgar, on Dec 1 2008, 11:59 PM, said:

If forcing pass systems didn't work, there wouldn't been a need to ban them...

Wouldn't there?

Desire ≠ need.
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I have come to realise it is futile to expect or hope a regular club game will be run in accordance with the laws. -- Jillybean
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#112 User is offline   csdenmark 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 02:54

Rossoneri, on Dec 2 2008, 12:23 AM, said:

Or do you mean regulators are suppose to cater for the demands of the minority even if that is contrary to what the majority wants?

Please read what I stated about democratic standards:

It is for the majority an obligation to pursue the interests of the electorate who elected them - the majority. But in a democracy it is also an obligation for the majority to guard the rights of minorities. That is what they are to be blamed for not to have done.

The american democracy has not guarded the rights of the indians, the australians have not guarded the rights of their aboriginals, the danes have not guarded the rights of the inuits, the Nazis did not guard the rights of the judes. Today we have all excused our deadly mistakes based on violations of basic democratic principles.

Democracy is not so easy - not least because there is no precise definition. But there are principles and lawyers knows these.

Therefore the lawyers - those are normally the regulators in bridge - are to blame. They act inside a democratic framework violating the basics of what they are asked to protect.
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#113 User is offline   marcD 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 04:44

gerry, on Dec 1 2008, 08:57 PM, said:

Further, every bunny can bid 1nt-3nt and cash 9 tricks. This is not evidence of judgement or skill. If I open 1 1H fert in front of a good pair holding the same cards they will no doubt bid exactly the same way for a deserved result. The pair of bunnies may get confused and anything might happen. The point is that it is their lack of skill and judgement that is the cause of this, not my bid, after all the good pair had no problem. To me it seems that this is no different to opening a preempt. Weak pairs founder much more than strong pairs when confronted with a 3H opening, but without it they will still bid 1nt-3nt and cash 9 tricks. Bunnies have many weaknesses, that is why they they are bunnies, exploiting these weaknesses is perfectly fair; surely there is no-one out there who thinks it is unsporting to preempt freely against weak pairs.

I do not think the issue is only jugement but preparation . Some Unusual systems/Fert bids do work for some time as long as opponents are unprepared (not to mention issues about full disclosure). Even something as mundane a Ekren 2 or 2 involves a learning curve and I do see the need for protection of players for whom is not their only occupation in life (irrespective of their skill level).
As for preempt, i actually think the opposite is true : I would rather preempt freely against stronger pairs. They will tend to better than weaker pairs judge on average but they are bound to get nailed sometimes whereas you can rely on weak pairs to make mistakes without pushing them around. Why increase the variance against weak pairs when/if the mean/average is in your favour ?
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#114 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 04:46

blackshoe, on Dec 2 2008, 05:30 AM, said:

At the risk of being derided by Hrothgar again...

Robert A. Heinlein said:

Democracy is based on the assumption that a million men are wiser than one man. How’s that again? I missed something.

I am simply going to point at the following:

http://en.wikipedia....isdom_of_Crowds
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#115 User is offline   Rossoneri 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 04:47

csdenmark, on Dec 2 2008, 08:54 AM, said:

Rossoneri, on Dec 2 2008, 12:23 AM, said:

Or do you mean regulators are suppose to cater for the demands of the minority even if that is contrary to what the majority wants?

Please read what I stated about democratic standards:

It is for the majority an obligation to pursue the interests of the electorate who elected them - the majority. But in a democracy it is also an obligation for the majority to guard the rights of minorities. That is what they are to be blamed for not to have done.

The american democracy has not guarded the rights of the indians, the australians have not guarded the rights of their aboriginals, the danes have not guarded the rights of the inuits, the Nazis did not guard the rights of the judes. Today we have all excused our deadly mistakes based on violations of basic democratic principles.

Democracy is not so easy - not least because there is no precise definition. But there are principles and lawyers knows these.

Therefore the lawyers - those are normally the regulators in bridge - are to blame. They act inside a democratic framework violating the basics of what they are asked to protect.

So if the majority does not want HUMs and BSCs, but the minority wants it, wouldn't the regulators be in a lose-lose situation either way? That is what you are implying.

You say democracy is not easy, then you blame the regulators for the result of the inherent problems of democracy. Wow.
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#116 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 05:01

Rossoneri, on Dec 2 2008, 11:47 PM, said:

So if the majority does not want HUMs and BSCs

Where is the evidence for this speculation?
Wayne Burrows

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#117 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 05:06

Cascade, on Dec 2 2008, 11:01 AM, said:

Rossoneri, on Dec 2 2008, 11:47 PM, said:

So if the majority does not want HUMs and BSCs

Where is the evidence for this speculation?

He doesn't need it. That's why it starts with an 'if'. The question works equally well written as

Quote

So if the majority wants HUMs and BSCs, but the minority doesn't want them, wouldn't the regulators be in a lose-lose situation either way? That is what you are implying.

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#118 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 05:43

For me and most others it is comfortably that HUMS are banned. We do not need to prepare for these systems.

I played quite a lot of chess when I was younger. Nobody had the silly idea to ban the scicilian defence. You had been allowed to play any opening you want.
The opponents had their defences against the most usual openings and maybe they had some general understanding which helped them in the other variants.

Really nobody claimed to ban some opening because the preparation tooks too long. You simply get used to these openings- or you accept the bad start because your opponent was better prepared.

So, if you call yourself a competetive chess player, you better be able to cope with all weird systems. You don not need to know all the best answers, but you need to have a basic understanding.

Same could be possible in Bridge. But unluckily the majority of the Bridge players are different from chessplayers.

Many of the competetive players do not want to spend as much time in their defence against their opponents possible openings as chess players.
They want a comfortably life and want to stay on firm ground. I do understand this. This is much easier then working hard on a defence against weird methods.

And to make things worse: The majority of all bridge players- the big majority, the social players- has no interest in new methods. They want their 4321 point count, one system for anybody and nothing new. They don`t want to spend time with discussing and learning. They want to play. A simple game.

I guess these two groups are about 95 % of all players. We must accept this and stick to our all fashioned systems. (No Wayne, I made no studies about this number, sorry, it is just a belive.)

I do regret this, but I won´t try to do sysyphos job and fight for a change here.
Claus had taken this task on his shoulders. I doubt that his fight makes him happy. And I doubt that he can win. But I wish him good luck, because I support the idea of anything goes.
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#119 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 05:49

I think the comparison to chess is somewhat apt but not quite.

In bridge, it is essential to have partnership agreements. For most of us, this means agreements about how we defend against familiar methods.

A weird chess opening is more akin to coded signals, or weird systems being played at World Cup for computer programs. Those are restricted also, but (to me at least) it is less understandable why they are restricted. After all there are no restrictions on tactics for declarer play.
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#120 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-December-02, 06:45

Cascade, on Dec 2 2008, 05:01 AM, said:

Rossoneri, on Dec 2 2008, 11:47 PM, said:

So if the majority does not want HUMs and BSCs

Where is the evidence for this speculation?

Are you seriously doubting that this is the case? We must really live in two different worlds, Wayne.
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