[mike777]

http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashbo...8U6Yw2h7CFsnwcF


250-250
Betting pool 51-49 McCain.

The race has really tighten up from just before the conventions.
270 needed to win.
About 7 weeks left.

Right wing Karl Rove has it 227-215 McCain leading for the first time.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/ele....map/index.html

243-189 CNN has Obama with a huge lead.


233-227 Obama per MSNBC
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553/

[kenberg]

Back last April or so a friend and I decided that it would come down to Obama versus McCain. I placed a bet on McCain (I usually vote Democratic) and he took Obama (he is a Libertarian). If I actually win this silly bet I may apply for a job as a fortune teller.

[gwnn]

BTW WTF is up with the n/a states? Is it some sort of a military secret.

[mike777]

gwnn, on Sep 15 2008, 02:50 PM, said:

BTW WTF is up with the n/a states? Is it some sort of a military secret.

n/a means not enough polling data to make a decision. Many small states may not be polled since no one is willing to pay for the poll.



200-193 McCain in this one.
259-247 Obama if you count leaners.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_con..._college_update

[Rossoneri]

There was this article in Scientific American a few months back about using a "betting" market to predict the results instead of conventional polls. Apparently, the former's more accurate.

[mike777]

http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashbo...8U6Yw2h7CFsnwcF



278-227

270 needed to win.

Huge gain and lead now for Obama with only 5 weeks left.

[Lobowolf]

IMO a strong market rally (post-bailout (check back Thursday)) makes it a race again; barring that, McCain is on the ropes.

[pigpenz]

from some polling on swing states on MSNBC is looks like older democrats are having a hard time coming around for Obama.
McCain caters to the old
Obama to the young

[mike777]

http://news.yahoo.co.../2008/dashboard


330-175 Huge lead for Obama.


264-174 Obama--msnbc
http://www.msnbc.msn...id/3032553/#map



250-189--CNN....huge lead for Obama

http://www.cnn.com/E...008/calculator/

[USViking]

This is by far the best site I have found
for tracking the races for national office:

http://www.electoral....com/index.html

It gives Obama an all but insurmountable lead:
343-184 (11 tied).

He could lose every state where he is now ahead
by 5% or less and still win with 12 electoral votes
to spare.

Here is the method used to compute the standings:

(from link)

Quote

First of all, only neutral pollsters are used. Pollsters whose primary business is helping Democrats or Republicans get elected are not used. They tend to make their horse look better. When there are multiple polls for a race, the most recent poll is always used. The middle date of the polling period is what counts (not the release date). If other polls have middle polling dates within a week of the most recent one, they are all averaged together. This tends to smooth out variations. In 2004, this algorithm did the best. 

[han]

The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason. Anyway, there has to be a way for the republicans to win this election, no matter how many people vote democratic.

[jdonn]

han, on Oct 10 2008, 01:29 PM, said:

The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason.

That's why Obama is such a good candidate. He is closing the land-area cap with Colorada, Nevada, and New Mexico, and he is closing the age gap with Florida. It's just a good thing they don't show Alaska next to the other states and drawn to scale, that would be too much redness to overcome.

[Gerben42]

Heh, I just saw an "electoral map" that let all countries vote based on inhabitants. McCain was ahead in Georgia, Andorra and Sierra Leone for 23 electoral votes. Obama had 8000-something electoral votes.

Quote

The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason. Anyway, there has to be a way for the republicans to win this election, no matter how many people vote democratic.

Are you hoping for the Republicans to win?

[gwnn]

yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean.

[luke warm]

gwnn, on Oct 10 2008, 04:40 PM, said:

yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean.

heheh... han is one of the few posters i've ever seen whose humor is conveyed by the written word... i think it's a talent

[jdonn]

luke warm, on Oct 10 2008, 06:05 PM, said:

gwnn, on Oct 10 2008, 04:40 PM, said:

yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean.

heheh... han is one of the few posters i've ever seen whose humor is conveyed by the written word... i think it's a talent

That's why I considered the first quote in my signature to be a compliment.