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just my thoughts: it is nice to have experts correct my hand evaluation, that would not happen often at my local club !
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I am no expert, I don't even play one on TV, so feel free to totally ignore any advice I might give. Especially when it comes to precision auctions, you would be wise to take my advice with a grain of salt because I gave up precision quite a few years back because of uncertainty how to continue in low level competitive auctions where partner might, or might not have 1
♦ after he opened that suit.
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What do you think of the following considerations ?
The K may be onside and that probably make this simply a bad 7 count (actually 6.7 according to the Kaplan Rubens hand evaluator, or 6+ Kleinman points -
http://www.gg.caltec.../~jeff/knr.cgi).
I think this evaluation at 6.7 points is actually an under-evaluation, but not by too much. The KR hand evaluator does not take position considerations of the honors into account. With your RHO bidding 1
♥, and thus showing some real values, I think both the
♣K and the
♥K are slightly underevaluated by KR method. And assuming (this is a big assumption), that we have a black suit fit, I like my 9's. So I would think this 7 point hand is worth a solid 7.5 to 8 if I was going to have to give it a score.
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1) the hand is aceless
2) most values are Q, J and 9s. These values usually take more tricks in defense.
3) The only major honor is Kxx in the opps suit: even if it takes a trick, it won't help developing other tricks.
4) Playing Precision, I want my pard toi show 8+ hcp or at least a *very good* 7, not a *bad* seven count. I do not like the policy to bid with submininmal values in direct seat just for the fear of losing a major suit partscore.
It is not the same to make a negative double with a 6/7 count or with a 8/9 count, especially when opener is limited to 15. I believe it is healthier to wait for pard to reopen. If the same hand were a 7 count but with one Ace, then I would have doubled happily
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Well, each partnership surely has to decide what bidding style works best for them. When I got CC Wei's first precision book (pamplet might be more like it), it was clear that many 8 hcp hands were not worthy of a response to a precision 11-15 hcp opener. And many modern players actually lower the limit of their opening bids to 8 or 9 hcp so the don't bid rule with as few as 7 would be even stronger today than yesterday.
Having said that, and acknowledging that this is not a good hand for offense (or defense for that matter), I would still bid here. Reckless, wacky, maybe... but bridge is still a bidders game. As I said in my last reply you can pass, and if the bidding comes back to you in 2
♥ you are safer doubling back in than in doubling or bidding 1
♠ now. But on this hand, the points will be relatively evenly divided (20 +/- 2) on each side. Your opponents mayhave struck the first blow towards finding a fit with the 2
♥ bid. This will be a partscore battle and if you don't bid now, you really may not get another chance.
As for the experts, in this thread you have one BBO Goldstar (luis) who recommended double, now there is a true expert for you. And one Topflight expert (helium) who recommended double, and two long time forcing club bidders who are "Experts" (free and The Hog) who also recommend taking some action other than double with this hand. I think if this was a BBO hand, you might check and see what others bid with this hand after 1
♦, although most will not be opening a precision 1
♦ I suspect. But the best style is whatever fits best for you. All I was saying is I would not discount the
♥K... it might be worth a sure trick, plus a sure stopper should you catch a magic hand for partner.. with
♣Ax, solid 7
♦ and he jumps to 3
♥, for instance...looking for 3NT if you can stop
♥.You can, and you have just enough tricks (well
♠ to ACE and
♥ through you if the
♥ACE is wrong isn't nice...but you know what I mean).
Ben