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another lead

#1 User is offline   karlson 

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Posted 2007-November-20, 18:12

Scoring: MP

(1)-2-(2NT)-p
(3NT)-p-(p)-p


Partner overcalls 1c with 2h red/red, and the opps get to 3N. Your lead (at MP, feel free to mention what you'd do at IMPS).
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#2 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2007-November-20, 23:10

low diamond at imps since i feel like thats the most likely way to beat them, heart at MP since a diamond is really likely to blow a trick.
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#3 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2007-November-21, 02:23

Even if they just have a single stopper, we will never earn many heart tricks.
If the opps and pd are sane, they have at most around 23 HCPS for their game.
So pd seems to have a quite pure HEart hand with no outside entries and they can cut me off from pd with a simple duck.

SO low Diamond is clear cut at imps.
At mps this is trickier. I would think about a high diamond or a low diamond and then choose a high Heart.
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#4 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-November-21, 12:49

Jlall, on Nov 21 2007, 06:10 AM, said:

low diamond at imps since i feel like thats the most likely way to beat them, heart at MP since a diamond is really likely to blow a trick.

Agree.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#5 User is offline   keylime 

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Posted 2007-November-21, 13:31

I'm lovin' the low diamond lead.
"Champions aren't made in gyms, champions are made from something they have deep inside them - a desire, a dream, a vision. They have to have last-minute stamina, they have to be a little faster, they have to have the skill and the will. But the will must be stronger than the skill. " - M. Ali
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#6 User is offline   lilboyman 

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Posted 2007-November-21, 14:56

I think that partner's weak jump overcall does not include an outside entry or much else outside Hearts. The best chance we have is for partner to hold 3 Diamonds. Under this scenario I am leading the Diamond King. This could result in an OT for opponents but a low Diamond requires partner to hold the Diamond Jack (they hold the Ace for sure) and a Heart while neutral is too passive for me even at MP. This Diamond King may be the only way to get Diamond trick in against some holdings.
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#7 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-November-21, 15:11

Jlall, on Nov 20 2007, 09:10 PM, said:

low diamond at imps since i feel like thats the most likely way to beat them, heart at MP since a diamond is really likely to blow a trick.

Same here.
"Phil" on BBO
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