Posted 2007-October-11, 11:21
Katherine, thanx for posting this very interesting hand that I have been giving lots of thought. What I will end up saying here when I analyse this hand may not completely agree with many of those others who've replied here.
First of all, you've stated you cue bid 2nd round controls. I'll assume that undiscussed PD's 3♥ super accept is any super accept (certainly not a very efficient use of S.Acc, but I'll get to that in a new post). It also seems "normal" that at your level (int/adv) and undiscussed that 4♣ and 4♦ are controls and that, off course you'd have bid 3♠ with a ♠ control and that opener knows that when replying 4♦. Anyhow, with RKCB you found out about the ♠ ace later on, and this leads to the main point of my analysis.
With RKCB you found out that opener has all 3 missing key cards !! Now we'll give him a max for his super accept of 4 trumps and 17 HCP. The 3 key cards are 11 HCP so that leaves 6 more HCP in his hand. So lets look at the combined hands with those know key cards. You still have 4 potential losers and PD's remaining 6 HCP need to cover 3 off them......
On a really good day, PD will have a doubleton ♣ and cover one of those losers with a ruff but that still leaves 2 losers for his 6 outside HCP to cover. But, wait a minute, he may have the J of trumps and only 5 outside HCP (again this assumed he supered with 17 HCP and 4 trumps) and it is even more unlikely he can cover 3 of those losers (2 if he can ruff a ♣).
So to my point ! Even assuming PD has the 17 HCP, 4 trumps, and knowing about those 3 key cards, I cannot state that 6♥ if a favorite to make !
Sure PD may hold Axx,KJxx,AKQx,xx and you're cold for slam or perhaps Ax,Kxxx,Axxx,KQJx and you're cold again. But lets give him a nicely control oriented Ax,Kxxx,AKx,Kxxx and one wonders what miracle is needed to take 12 tricks (and the defence may be too good to get fooled into a squeeze or to missplay if you pull trumps and cash the ace of ♠ and throw them in.)
Often times PD's 5 or 6 HCP outside of trumps may be scattered Quacks and you'll need a finesse or two to make slam. (Perhaps some endplay may work, but perhaps not) Once again, I doubt that after the great info you received after RKCB and giving PD a max, that 6♥ is a favorite.
On a bad day,things can go wrong after 4NT at the 5 level if you catch PD with fewer than 3 key cards.
Then again, what if PD super accepted with fewer than 17 HCP ? I certainly super accept with a good 16 HCP and 4 trumps and a ruffing value since I feel that my hand in combination with responders known 5 trumps is worth more than an opening 15-17 NT. I also super with a good 17 HCP, 3 trumps to a high H and a ruffing value. Some players super with almost any hand with 4 trumps. This can lead to a lucky distributional game with 15 opposite 7, or can force the opps to try to balance over 3♥ if it is their hand.
All in all, while I love the 6 card ♥ suit and two aces, the two doubleton jacks force me to be somewhat cautious as I don't think that after receiving great info about PD's 3 cards, that slam is a favorite.
I'd make a more mild slam try here. 4♣ is fine, but when followed by 4♦, I bid 4♥ which should show mild slam interest. Now when PD loves his hand in the context of what has been bid. ie.. Ax,Kxxx,Axxx,KQJx he can carry on for slam which is easy to bid after his 4NT when he finds you with 2 keys and the Q.
So what went wrong with the bidding ? Well, responder was a bit too optimistic, I think. .. neilkaz ..