pclayton, on Nov 21 2006, 04:33 PM, said:
OK, I'll accept that 5♦ was pretty bad, although pard shouldn't play me for a 15 count here with tolerance. Thats some sort of 2/1, or a 3N response. But note that 5♠ is still dangerously high.
I also don't agree that this hand is worth a game force. Give pard a very plain opener; AQxxx, xx, AQxx, xx and game needs an awful lot. A little more, and pard would accept a game try. The only way a 2♣ response pays off is when pard reveals a double fit; AQxxx, xx, xx, Axxx for instance (and this isn't an opener for many). I also have methods (via an ambiguous 2♣) where I can show a 3 card limit raise cheaply.
I'm surprised that you all are so tolerant of 4♠. Maybe I'm influenced by the result, but I think at these colors, I should have some realistic expectation that pard is bidding to MAKE. How can I differentiate this hand from something like: AKQxxx, x, Axx, Axx; which gives us an excellent play for a grand? There's plenty of lesser hands where 6 is excellent too. North has a nice hand, but its not that great if there isn't a fit there. To say South should pass 4♠ isn't realistic, when South hasn't hinted at any strength or fit, and he has both.
I think that pard should pass 4♥. If I come out of the woods with a double (which I will), then pulling looks right with this ODR. Thats how you get to 4♠.
In situations like these, Justin has always been arguing in favor of giving partner lots of leeway for his competitive game bids. I think it is losing bridge if you have to pass with the North hand, missing out on a possible double game swing. (If partner has ♠Kx and ♦QJx, you are making 4♠ or down 1 and have 1-3 defensive tricks against 4♥.)
Of course, this wasn't bridge but MP, so the double game swing argument isn't that big. But even at MPs, opponents may not be able to double you with 4♥ making.
In fact, I have convinced myself that South should pass. Game-before-slam. (And throw out the forcing 1N with a possible fit.)