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Lead problem

#1 User is offline   joshs 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 11:43

Scoring: IMP


Partner passes, RHO bids 1H, you bid 2S, LHO bids 3H and RHO bids 4H. What is your opening lead, and why?

p.s. If it matters, you are playing a 2 board playoff to decide a regional compact KO.
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#2 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 11:57

Low Spade is somewhat appealing. Partner should get in with a tump and could return a Spade for a ruff. However, there is too much risk that RKO is sitting on a doubleton.

I still lean towards an active lead.
Mark me down for a low club...
Alderaan delenda est
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#3 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 12:05

Is this the first board or the second? And if its the second, how do I feel about my result on the first? :)
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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#4 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 12:19

9 of clubs..attack!
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#5 User is offline   joshs 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 14:55

bid_em_up, on Jul 6 2006, 01:05 PM, said:

Is this the first board or the second? And if its the second, how do I feel about my result on the first? :)

1'st board of the 2 boards....
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#6 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 15:01

♣10... seems clear (I haven't played rusinow for years so no 9 for me)

Clear does not equate with winning, but everything I have ever learned about the game suggests that the ♣ suit is the most attractive mix of safety and aggression.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#7 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 15:07

It sounds as if RHO has the best hand at the table and they were under pressure to guess how high to bid - I don't want to give away anything here so I rule out clubs and spades. My 2S bid has given away the show as to how the hearts are probably breaking so partner's Qxx is likely to be finessed unless I can get lucky and convince declarer it's too dangerous....on these rather weak grounds I go ahead and lead the diamond 3. Even if declarer doesn't believe it is stiff, it rates to be the suit of least evils.
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#8 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 15:56

♠A. Maybe partner has the singleton. This also retains the lead in case I need to switch at trick two to a diamond or club. Admittedly it gives a trick in certain positions, but this is generally just a pitch which may not help declarer anyway.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 16:01

Not going to lead a spade and club seems risky with RHO holding the goodies. Heart doesn't look appealing, so I'm left with a diamond :)
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#10 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 16:59

A♠ so i can look at dummy
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#11 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 18:14

A♠ is possible, but I slightly favor a middle club.

I have no desire to look at the dummy. I don't want to give up a tempo and even if pard can ruff a spade, it might be with a natural trump trick.
"Phil" on BBO
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#12 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2006-July-06, 18:20

hrothgar, on Jul 6 2006, 07:57 PM, said:

Low Spade is somewhat appealing.  Partner should get in with a tump and could return a Spade for a ruff. However, there is too much risk that RKO is sitting on a doubleton.

I still lean towards an active lead.
Mark me down for a low club...

Your first plan needs only
* exactly two spades
* an early trump stopper
* a trump holding that benefits from a trump promotion after his stopper was forced out
from partner.
No thanks, I take my ♣T.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#13 User is offline   joshs 

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Posted 2006-July-07, 09:33

Scoring: IMP


Now what card do you wish you led? Luckily I led the DT without thought, and declarer couldn't afford to safety play trumps for fear of a diamond ruff. I still have no idea if this lead is right....
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#14 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2006-July-08, 00:30

Pd did not raise with his hand? Okay, in that case, the lead of the ace of Spade is much less likely to win as in the case, where you know, that pd has at most two spades...

I still wonder about the right game plan for your opponent.
He played you for having one diamond and two hearts, because with three hearts in your hand, he needs not to care about a diamond ruff (as long as you did not find a weak two bid with Jxxxxx,Qxx,x,Kxxx or similar hands and pd did not raise with Axx,xx,xxx, Axxxx, where you can reach pd for two diamond ruffs.

I think to win the diamond in hand, win the ace of heart and play a club and try to reach Dummy later in Spade for a heart finesse looks like a much better line.
Kind Regards

Roland

Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-July-10, 04:56

Codo, on Jul 8 2006, 06:30 AM, said:

Pd did not raise with his hand?

He has seen josh's WJOs before ;) :) :)
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#16 User is offline   joshs 

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Posted 2006-July-10, 12:07

whereagles, on Jul 10 2006, 05:56 AM, said:

Codo, on Jul 8 2006, 06:30 AM, said:

Pd did not raise with his hand?

He has seen josh's WJOs before :lol: :D :)

If he had, he would have raised.... :)

Actually he learned his lesson from the other day where it went P by him, 1H on his left, 2C by me, P on his right and he raised on xxx KJxx xx Qxx. Its not the fact that he had a 6 count, its the fact that his values were poorly placed heart honors, and I mistakenly saved in 5C on AX XX XX AKJTxxx later expecting 1 side trick in partner's hand.

Here, his hand is good enough to raise but the xxx in my suit and the QJxx in the suit that they bid and raised both scream defense....
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