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what's the % line?

#1 User is offline   dogsbreath 

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Posted 2003-November-18, 11:15

This hand from last weekend's InterProvincial tournament in Dublin..
4H by South, no opps bidding..
South North
S: x A1097
H: AK7xx Jxx
D: Kxx J8xx
C: J8xx AK

defence starts with 2D to A and 10D returned.
I'm not good at deriving the % lines on this sort of hand..
..any ideas? ruffing 3 spades in hand and trying to make 10th trick
with JH looks attractive.. or cash AK Hearts and play x-ruff? .. this looks
dead-in-the-water if Hearts 4-1 .. or did I miss something? B)
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#2 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2003-November-18, 21:55

i don't know either, but i'd take KD, spade to A, ruff spade, club to A, ruff spade, club to K, ruff spade, draw 2 round of trumps and lead a club toward the HJ
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#3 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2003-November-18, 22:07

Hmm....seeing that this was in Ireland and seeing that you were playing it, Martin, I am surprised you are not in 7H xx and lost the event by one Imp!!

Seriously, I think ruffing 3S in hand, using the AS and the C entries looks best to me. That gives you 9 tricks and good chances for the 10th.

PS. How did you go in the tournament?
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#4 User is offline   luis 

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Posted 2003-November-19, 09:45

Quote

This hand from last weekend's InterProvincial tournament in Dublin..
4H by South, no opps bidding..
South North
S: x A1097
H: AK7xx Jxx
D: Kxx J8xx
C: J8xx AK

defence starts with 2D to A and 10D returned.
I'm not good at deriving the % lines on this sort of hand..
..any ideas? ruffing 3 spades in hand and trying to make 10th trick
with JH looks attractive.. or cash AK Hearts and play x-ruff? .. this looks
dead-in-the-water if Hearts 4-1 .. or did I miss something? :)


I don't know :-)
dK, club to the ace, club king, heart to the A
club ruff. Spade ace and spade ruff.
And then try to ruff the fourth club with the hJ.
The legend of the black octogon.
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#5 User is offline   dogsbreath 

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Posted 2003-November-28, 19:52

thanks for the comments Ron & Luis B)
..opps hands were..

Kxx QJxxx
108 Q9x
Qxxx A10x
Qxxx 10xx ...

I played to make trick with JH after using C entries to ruff 3rd & 4th spade
..ruffing 4th S high ..but no joy on the layout. Still think i coulda /shoulda made it tho :o)
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#6 User is offline   rtewari 

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Posted 2003-December-08, 03:40

How about winning diamond king and playing back a diamond. If RHO has 2 diamonds and LHO plays a 4th diamond for RHO to ruff, maybe RHO is ruffing with long trumps. With diamonds 3-3, you are home on 3-2 trumps or single trump queen. Probably better than to play for 4-4 spades.
RT
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