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Blofeld, on Oct 12 2005, 05:16 PM, said:
Hannie, on Oct 12 2005, 11:12 AM, said:
We open 1X expecting to make it opposite the average hand for partner. We need 13 pts for this, so partner will on average have (40-13)/3=9 pts. So with at least one more trick (12 pts), partner can safely bid a new suit at the 2-level. Since 12+13 usually makes game, we might as well agree to play 2/1 GF.
You won't pull the wool over my eyes that easily!
12+13 is only 25 points. At 3 points per trick, this is on average taking only slightly more than eight tricks. To make a game in a major, say, we ought to have combined 30 points between the two hands (or possibly 31, as there are 40 points in the deck rather than 39).
LOL, assume the following hand:
Each side has 20HCP, which would mean that each side should almost be able to gain 7 tricks (since this is obviously impossible, assume one side makes 7 tricks, and the other one 6). However, the defending side makes always 8 tricks, in this layout (whicj means a trick is gained with 2.5 points), while the declarer makes just 5 tricks (1trick=4 points).
Does this means that it takes 19 HCP to open? (pard should have 7 HCP, 1/3 of 21, and this would result in a chance to make 7 tricks)
